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Neighborhood · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally

Magnolia Grove Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201410300 · Harris, TX · pop 3,552 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 5.2/10 for census tract 48201410300 reflects conditions in the Magnolia Grove area of Houston, Texas. On the national scale it ranks #46,751 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 46% of renter households, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,032 monthly, set against $102,889 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 66% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 36% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units2,465
Renter share65.6%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate10.0%
Median income$102,889

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Magnolia Grove
Moderate
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#719 of 952 tracts In Houston
Low
Within county
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#788 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Low
Within state
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#3,847 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7564, -95.4041 · click any tract to drill in

Why Magnolia Grove scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.0% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$2,032 rent vs county FMR
8.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Magnolia Grove compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Magnolia Grove risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.63.6This tracttract 410300Houston: 2.82.8Houstonparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 45Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 0.78%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.5%Peak (2010)
  • 6Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 482014103002009: 10 filings (0.82/100 renter HHs)2010: 12 filings (1.49/100 renter HHs)2011: 7 filings (0.96/100 renter HHs)2012: 3 filings (0.41/100 renter HHs)2013: 5 filings (0.69/100 renter HHs)2014: 2 filings (0.27/100 renter HHs)2015: 6 filings (0.82/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 40% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 576Total filings 2020-21
  • 7.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 24.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 4 filings (8.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 4 filings (8.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 5 filings (5.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 7 filings (14.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 11 filings (44.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 15 filings (150.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 8 filings (16.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 4 filings (16.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 4 filings (8.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 17 filings (34.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 3 filings (12.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 15 filings (150.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 5 filings (20.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 14 filings (140.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 11 filings (22.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 16 filings (64.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 23 filings (92.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 27 filings (270.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 18 filings (36.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 19 filings (19.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 10 filings (20.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 15 filings (30.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 16 filings (64.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 15 filings (150.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 16 filings (64.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 16 filings (160.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 14 filings (28.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 11 filings (44.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 14 filings (56.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 11 filings (110.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 8 filings (16.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 13 filings (13.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 11 filings (22.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 10 filings (20.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 16 filings (64.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 11 filings (110.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 12 filings (48.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 11 filings (22.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 6 filings (24.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 10 filings (40.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 7 filings (70.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 10 filings (20.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 10 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 6 filings (12.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 11 filings (110.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Magnolia Grove. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Magnolia Grove

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 8.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harris County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Part of this tract, about 1% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was B ("Still Desirable"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 24.00x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201410300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201410300?

Census tract 48201410300 in the Magnolia Grove neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201410300?

Median gross rent is $2,032/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201410300?

10.0% of residents in tract 48201410300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,552.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201410300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 2th, minority 57th, housing 71th.
Q5

Is tract 48201410300 considered part of Magnolia Grove?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201410300 fall within Magnolia Grove (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201410300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 45 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201410300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.78% of renter households, peaking at 1.5% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48201410300 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 24.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48201410300 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201410300 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 48201410300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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