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Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Magnolia Grove Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201510701 · Harris, TX · pop 2,265 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 48201510701 sits in the Magnolia Grove area of Houston eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4/10. Population here is 2,265. 88% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 56% Owners 12%
Tract context
Occupied units1,401
Renter share88.3%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate18.1%
Median income$80,780

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Magnolia Grove
Very High
Within parent city
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#467 of 952 tracts In Houston
Moderate
Within county
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#525 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Moderate
Within state
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#2,721 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7628, -95.4038 · click any tract to drill in

Why Magnolia Grove scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
18.1% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,798 rent vs county FMR
6.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Magnolia Grove compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Magnolia Grove risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.0This tracttract 5107013.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 252Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 4.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Magnolia Grove. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Magnolia Grove

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Cost burden runs 37% here against 49.5% across Harris County. At $1,798 a month, rents run 32% over what the rest of Houston commands.

Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. The voucher gap is 17.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

The poverty rate is 18%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Houston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 42nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.2/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Harris County average of 4.0 closely. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $80,780.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201510701

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201510701?

Census tract 48201510701 in the Magnolia Grove neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201510701?

Median gross rent is $1,798/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201510701?

18.1% of residents in tract 48201510701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,265.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201510701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 3th, minority 60th, housing 37th.
Q5

Is tract 48201510701 considered part of Magnolia Grove?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201510701 fall within Magnolia Grove (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201510701 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 4.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201510701 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201510701 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48201510701 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 31% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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