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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

Magnolia Grove Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201510701 · Harris, TX · pop 2,265 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Here is how census tract 48201510701, in the Magnolia Grove neighborhood of Houston eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.1/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 2,265. It lands near the 41st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 37% of renter households, a high level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,798 a month while the average household earns $80,780 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 88% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 56% Owners 12%
Tract context
Occupied units1,401
Renter share88.3%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate18.1%
Median income$80,780

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Magnolia Grove
Very High
Within parent city
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#466 of 952 tracts In Houston
Moderate
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#514 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Moderate
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#2,323 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7628, -95.4038 · click any tract to drill in

Why Magnolia Grove scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
18.1% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,798 rent vs county FMR
6.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Magnolia Grove compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Magnolia Grove risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 510701Houston: 2.82.8Houstonparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 252Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 4.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 7 filings (7.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 6 filings (12.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 5 filings (6.67× baseline)2022-04-01: 4 filings (8.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 9 filings (7.20× baseline)2022-06-01: 5 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 3 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 10 filings (20.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 3 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2023-02-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 5 filings (6.67× baseline)2023-04-01: 8 filings (16.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 6 filings (4.80× baseline)2023-06-01: 4 filings (3.20× baseline)2023-07-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-08-01: 9 filings (18.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 9 filings (9.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-11-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 9 filings (18.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 6 filings (3.43× baseline)2024-02-01: 7 filings (14.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 7 filings (9.33× baseline)2024-04-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 8 filings (6.40× baseline)2024-06-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2024-07-01: 3 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 13 filings (13.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2024-11-01: 9 filings (9.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 8 filings (16.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 8 filings (4.57× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 3 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 5 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 7 filings (5.60× baseline)2025-06-01: 5 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 3 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 5 filings (5.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 7 filings (9.33× baseline)2025-11-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 8 filings (80.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Magnolia Grove. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Magnolia Grove

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 6.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harris County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 31% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201510701

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201510701?

Census tract 48201510701 in the Magnolia Grove neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201510701?

Median gross rent is $1,798/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201510701?

18.1% of residents in tract 48201510701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,265.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201510701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 3th, minority 60th, housing 37th.
Q5

Is tract 48201510701 considered part of Magnolia Grove?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201510701 fall within Magnolia Grove (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201510701 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 4.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201510701 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201510701 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48201510701 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 31% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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