Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Cherryhurst Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston
Tract 48201410402 · Harris, TX · pop 2,931 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
48201410402 is a census tract in the Cherryhurst area of Houston, TX. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,931. The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,406
Renter share34.2%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$168,015
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
25
th percentile
Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.7475, -95.3987 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cherryhurst scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,580 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Cherryhurst compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 9%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 23%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 37%Grade A
- 63%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 72Total filings over 7 yrs
- 1.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.5%Peak (2014)
- 6Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 57Total filings 2020-21
- 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.83×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cherryhurst
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Against Harris County at 49.5%, 37% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 18.1% against 31.5% nationally.
Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. Average gross rent is $1,580, 16% above the Houston average.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 72 filings here across 7 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2014, when 2.5% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Houston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.5% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201410402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201410402?
Census tract 48201410402 in the Cherryhurst neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201410402?
Median gross rent is $1,580/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201410402?
4.4% of residents in tract 48201410402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,931.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201410402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 3th, minority 54th, housing 23th.
Q5
Is tract 48201410402 considered part of Cherryhurst?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201410402 fall within Cherryhurst (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201410402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 72 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201410402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.47% of renter households, peaking at 2.5% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201410402 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.83× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201410402 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201410402 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 48201410402 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
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5.1
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/ 10 · Moderate
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