Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally
Northline Terrace Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201221601 · Harris, TX · pop 3,277 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 48201221601 (the Northline Terrace neighborhood of Houston, Texas) comes in at 6.1/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 77th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 80% of renter households, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $60,380 a year. About 22% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units877
Renter share21.6%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate42.4%
Median income$60,380
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
78
th percentile
High
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.8927, -95.4069 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northline Terrace scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
42.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Northline Terrace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 60%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 30%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 31Total filings 2020-21
- 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.54×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Northline Terrace
The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Harris County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.54x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201221601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201221601?
Census tract 48201221601 in the Northline Terrace neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201221601?
42.4% of residents in tract 48201221601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,277.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201221601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 60th, minority 90th, housing 30th.
Q4
Is tract 48201221601 considered part of Northline Terrace?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201221601 fall within Northline Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48201221601 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.54× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48201221601 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201221601 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Foster Place
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Crestmont
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Parkridge
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Highland Heights
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Canfield Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
East Houston
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
East Houston
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Fondren Gardens
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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