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Neighborhood · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally

Ashford Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201451200 · Harris, TX · pop 2,511 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 48201451200, home to 2,511 residents in the Ashford neighborhood of Houston, scores $1/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 37th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 72% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $161,648 a year. About 4% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 1% Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units959
Renter share4.5%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate0.3%
Median income$161,648

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Ashford
Very High
Within parent city
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#882 of 952 tracts In Houston
Very Low
Within county
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#984 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Very Low
Within state
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#5,145 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7548, -95.5970 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ashford scores 2.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
0.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Ashford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ashford risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.72.7This tracttract 451200Houston: 2.82.8Houstonparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 17Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 4.26%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.5%Peak (2009)
  • 2Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 482014512002009: 3 filings (11.54/100 renter HHs)2010: 2 filings (3.28/100 renter HHs)2011: 2 filings (2.50/100 renter HHs)2012: 3 filings (3.75/100 renter HHs)2013: 3 filings (3.75/100 renter HHs)2014: 2 filings (2.50/100 renter HHs)2015: 2 filings (2.50/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 21Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.40×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ashford. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ashford

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harris County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.40x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 8th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201451200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201451200?

Census tract 48201451200 in the Ashford neighborhood scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201451200?

0.3% of residents in tract 48201451200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,511.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201451200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 31th, minority 33th, housing 3th.
Q4

Is tract 48201451200 considered part of Ashford?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201451200 fall within Ashford (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201451200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 17 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201451200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.26% of renter households, peaking at 11.5% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201451200 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.40× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201451200 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201451200 scores 2.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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