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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Ashford Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201451302 · Harris, TX · pop 3,486 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 48201451302 in the Ashford area of Houston, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs roughly one in eight here against 49.5% across Harris County.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 4% Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,116
Renter share5.1%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate2.8%
Median income$132,791

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Ashford
Very Low
Within parent city
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#914 of 952 tracts In Houston
Very Low
Within county
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#923 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Very Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7481, -95.5965 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ashford scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,629 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Ashford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ashford risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 4513023.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 13

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 13Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.54×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ashford. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ashford

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

At $1,629 a month, rents run 20% over what the rest of Houston commands. 12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 5% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.2/10. Against average income of $132,791, annual rent is just 15%.

Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201451302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201451302?

Census tract 48201451302 in the Ashford neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201451302?

Median gross rent is $1,629/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 12% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201451302?

2.8% of residents in tract 48201451302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,486.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201451302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 37th, minority 58th, housing 18th.
Q5

Is tract 48201451302 considered part of Ashford?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201451302 fall within Ashford (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201451302 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.54× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201451302 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201451302 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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