Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Ashford Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201451406 · Harris, TX · pop 2,377 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 48201451406 sits in the Ashford Hills area of Houston eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. It is home to 2,377 residents. 37% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units1,614
Renter share75.0%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate31.1%
Median income$44,021
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.7418, -95.6112 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ashford Hills scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
31.1% poverty · this tract
7.8
Supply constraint
$1,150 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Ashford Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 17%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 833Total filings 2020-21
- 10.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 3.56×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ashford Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ashford Hills
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
The poverty rate is 31%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
It sits 1.1 points above the Harris County average of 4.0. Average gross rent is $1,150, 16% below the Houston average.
45% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Harris County average of 49.5%. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.3/10. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $44,021.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201451406
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201451406?
Census tract 48201451406 in the Ashford Hills neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201451406?
Median gross rent is $1,150/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201451406?
31.1% of residents in tract 48201451406 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,377.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201451406?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 7th, minority 61th, housing 17th.
Q5
Is tract 48201451406 considered part of Ashford Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201451406 fall within Ashford Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201451406 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 3.56× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201451406 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201451406 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48201220800
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Central Southwest Houston
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Chinatown
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Parkridge
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Calgary Woods
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Inverness Forest
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Lamar Terrace
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Parkglen West
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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