Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally
Ashford Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201451407 · Harris, TX · pop 1,460 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
For landlords sizing up the Ashford Hills neighborhood of Houston, census tract 48201451407 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. That is riskier than roughly 41% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 55% of renter households, a severe level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $998 monthly, set against $38,808 in average yearly household income, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 90% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 50%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 10%
Tract context
Occupied units1,058
Renter share89.8%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate12.8%
Median income$38,808
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.7396, -95.6163 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ashford Hills scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.8% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$998 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Ashford Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 89%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 54%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 428Total filings 2020-21
- 5.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.21×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ashford Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ashford Hills
The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 3.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harris County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.21x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201451407
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201451407?
Census tract 48201451407 in the Ashford Hills neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201451407?
Median gross rent is $998/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201451407?
12.8% of residents in tract 48201451407 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,460.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201451407?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 47th, minority 78th, housing 54th.
Q5
Is tract 48201451407 considered part of Ashford Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201451407 fall within Ashford Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201451407 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.21× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201451407 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201451407 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Foster Place
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Crestmont
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Parkridge
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Highland Heights
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Canfield Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
East Houston
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Fondren Gardens
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
East Houston
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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