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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,138 of 84,120 nationally

Keegans Glen Eviction Risk: Elevated , Houston

Tract 48201453403 · Harris, TX · pop 4,096 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

How risky is Keegans Glen in Houston for landlords? Census tract 48201453403 scores 5.9/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 70th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 55% of renter households, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,024 monthly, set against $33,427 in average yearly household income, roughly 37% of income at the averages. Renters make up 77% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 34% Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units1,504
Renter share76.5%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate41.7%
Median income$33,427

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Keegans Glen
Very High
Within parent city
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 952 tracts In Houston
Very High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#33 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#166 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.6698, -95.5851 · click any tract to drill in

Why Keegans Glen scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
41.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,024 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Keegans Glen compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Keegans Glen risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.46.4This tracttract 453403Houston: 2.82.8Houstonparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,806Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 29.92%Avg annual filing rate
  • 49.2%Peak (2010)
  • 96Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 482014534032009: 246 filings (56.01/100 renter HHs)2010: 396 filings (49.19/100 renter HHs)2011: 277 filings (24.80/100 renter HHs)2012: 295 filings (26.41/100 renter HHs)2013: 240 filings (21.49/100 renter HHs)2014: 256 filings (22.92/100 renter HHs)2015: 96 filings (8.59/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 61% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 677Total filings 2020-21
  • 8.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 17.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.51×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 3 filings (0.13× baseline)2020-02-01: 2 filings (0.11× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 5 filings (0.23× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.05× baseline)2020-08-01: 7 filings (0.26× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 2 filings (0.13× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (0.09× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 2 filings (0.15× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.05× baseline)2021-06-01: 4 filings (0.14× baseline)2021-07-01: 3 filings (0.15× baseline)2021-08-01: 3 filings (0.11× baseline)2021-09-01: 2 filings (0.15× baseline)2021-10-01: 11 filings (0.70× baseline)2021-11-01: 5 filings (0.33× baseline)2021-12-01: 14 filings (1.22× baseline)2022-01-01: 10 filings (0.43× baseline)2022-02-01: 4 filings (0.21× baseline)2022-03-01: 12 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 9 filings (0.65× baseline)2022-05-01: 13 filings (0.60× baseline)2022-06-01: 10 filings (0.34× baseline)2022-07-01: 14 filings (0.71× baseline)2022-08-01: 12 filings (0.44× baseline)2022-09-01: 7 filings (0.51× baseline)2022-10-01: 12 filings (0.76× baseline)2022-11-01: 6 filings (0.39× baseline)2022-12-01: 14 filings (1.22× baseline)2023-01-01: 5 filings (0.22× baseline)2023-02-01: 18 filings (0.95× baseline)2023-03-01: 15 filings (1.25× baseline)2023-04-01: 15 filings (1.09× baseline)2023-05-01: 20 filings (0.92× baseline)2023-06-01: 17 filings (0.58× baseline)2023-07-01: 14 filings (0.71× baseline)2023-08-01: 19 filings (0.70× baseline)2023-09-01: 14 filings (1.02× baseline)2023-10-01: 16 filings (1.02× baseline)2023-11-01: 4 filings (0.26× baseline)2023-12-01: 7 filings (0.61× baseline)2024-01-01: 14 filings (0.60× baseline)2024-02-01: 14 filings (0.74× baseline)2024-03-01: 12 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 9 filings (0.65× baseline)2024-05-01: 16 filings (0.74× baseline)2024-06-01: 8 filings (0.27× baseline)2024-07-01: 9 filings (0.46× baseline)2024-08-01: 11 filings (0.40× baseline)2024-09-01: 18 filings (1.31× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (0.06× baseline)2024-11-01: 3 filings (0.20× baseline)2024-12-01: 15 filings (1.30× baseline)2025-01-01: 15 filings (0.65× baseline)2025-02-01: 10 filings (0.53× baseline)2025-03-01: 26 filings (2.17× baseline)2025-04-01: 7 filings (0.51× baseline)2025-05-01: 8 filings (0.37× baseline)2025-06-01: 18 filings (0.61× baseline)2025-07-01: 23 filings (1.16× baseline)2025-08-01: 9 filings (0.33× baseline)2025-09-01: 13 filings (0.95× baseline)2025-10-01: 15 filings (0.95× baseline)2025-11-01: 4 filings (0.26× baseline)2025-12-01: 15 filings (1.30× baseline)2026-01-01: 12 filings (120.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 7 filings (70.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Keegans Glen. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Keegans Glen

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Harris County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,806 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 29.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 49.2% of renter households in 2010.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201453403

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201453403?

Census tract 48201453403 in the Keegans Glen neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201453403?

Median gross rent is $1,024/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201453403?

41.7% of residents in tract 48201453403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,096.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201453403?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 83th, minority 96th, housing 88th.
Q5

Is tract 48201453403 considered part of Keegans Glen?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201453403 fall within Keegans Glen (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201453403?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,806 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201453403 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 29.92% of renter households, peaking at 49.2% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48201453403 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.51× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48201453403 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201453403 scores 6.4/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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