Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Lakes at Grand Harbor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201455300 · Harris, TX · pop 14,668 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 48201455300, home to 14,668 residents in Lakes at Grand Harbor in Houston, scores 5.2/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,719 monthly, set against $70,573 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 82% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 18%
Tract context
Occupied units5,453
Renter share82.0%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$70,573
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
39
th percentile
Low
Within county
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.7751, -95.7906 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lakes at Grand Harbor scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,719 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Lakes at Grand Harbor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 68%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 440Total filings over 7 yrs
- 9.44%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.8%Peak (2015)
- 93Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 182% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 1,148Total filings 2020-21
- 14.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.43×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lakes at Grand Harbor
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 6.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harris County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Asian and ranks around the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.43x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201455300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201455300?
Census tract 48201455300 in the Lakes at Grand Harbor neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201455300?
Median gross rent is $1,719/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201455300?
9.2% of residents in tract 48201455300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 14,668.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201455300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 68th, minority 84th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 48201455300 considered part of Lakes at Grand Harbor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201455300 fall within Lakes at Grand Harbor (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201455300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 440 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201455300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.44% of renter households, peaking at 8.8% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201455300 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.43× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201455300 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201455300 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
East Houston
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
East Houston
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Fondren Gardens
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48201221400
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48201222702
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Remington Ranch
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Mayfair
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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