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Neighborhood · Houston, TX

Lakes at Grand Harbor Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 14,668 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.3/10 · range 3.3–3.3

Lakes at Grand Harbor is a one-tract neighborhood of Houston, TX, population 14,668. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.3/10, in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs 50% against 32.1% citywide, putting Lakes at Grand Harbor 18.1% over its own city.

Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. This is a renter market: 82% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

25% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Average gross rent is $1,719, 26% above the Houston average of $1,361. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 2.3/10.

The filing record is not thin: 440 evictions logged in this tract. Running cool is housing-court posture, at 2.5/10. The voucher gap is 12.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 8.8% of renter households. That places it #207 of 397 neighborhoods in Houston.

Judgments average 3.5% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. The closest comparables inside the same city are Kings Forest and Addicks.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Lakes at Grand Harbor vs Houston How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
50.2% +56%
Houston: 32.1%
Average gross rent
$1,719 +26%
Houston: $1,361
Average HH income
$70,573 +12%
Houston: $62,894
Poverty rate
9.2% -53%
Houston: 19.7%
Renter share
82.1% +42%
Houston: 57.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lakes at Grand Harbor and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.3–3.3

Why Lakes at Grand Harbor scores 3.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
50% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
82% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
9.2% below poverty line · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Risk score comparison

Lakes at Grand Harbor vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lakes at Grand Harbor score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.3Lakes at Grand HarNeighborhood3.7Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Lakes at Grand Harbor

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48201455300 3.3 14,668 50% $1,719
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 86

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 79%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 68%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 84%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 86%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Lakes at Grand Harbor

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 440Total filings (sum)
  • 9.44%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.8%Peak year (2015)
  • 8.84%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,148Total filings 2020-21
  • 14.9Avg monthly observed
  • 6.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.43×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston, TX).

Frequently asked

About Lakes at Grand Harbor

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lakes at Grand Harbor?

Lakes at Grand Harbor scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lakes at Grand Harbor compare to Houston overall?

Lakes at Grand Harbor scores 0.4 points lower than Houston overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,719 vs $1,361.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lakes at Grand Harbor?

Average gross rent in Lakes at Grand Harbor is $1,719/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lakes at Grand Harbor residents are renters?

82% of Lakes at Grand Harbor households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Houston). The neighborhood has 14,668 residents.
Q5

Is Lakes at Grand Harbor a high social-vulnerability area?

Lakes at Grand Harbor sits in the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Lakes at Grand Harbor for landlords?

Lakes at Grand Harbor carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Houston as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Lakes at Grand Harbor?

Lakes at Grand Harbor has 14,134 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (45.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (22.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (17.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lakes at Grand Harbor

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Houston

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lakes at Grand Harbor.

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