Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally
Timbergrove Manor Section 8 Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston
Tract 48201511003 · Harris, TX · pop 2,333 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
For landlords sizing up the Timbergrove Manor Section 8 area of Houston, census tract 48201511003 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.7/10. On the national scale it ranks #61,009 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,224 a month against an average household income of $76,078 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 63% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,047
Renter share62.9%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$76,078
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
32
th percentile
Low
Within county
35
th percentile
Low
Within state
48
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.7954, -95.4340 · click any tract to drill in
Why Timbergrove Manor Section 8 scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,224 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Timbergrove Manor Section 8 compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 10%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 330Total filings 2020-21
- 4.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.42×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Timbergrove Manor Section 8
The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 3.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Harris County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.42x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201511003
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201511003?
Census tract 48201511003 in the Timbergrove Manor Section 8 neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201511003?
Median gross rent is $1,224/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201511003?
5.8% of residents in tract 48201511003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,333.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201511003?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 11th, minority 62th, housing 10th.
Q5
Is tract 48201511003 considered part of Timbergrove Manor Section 8?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201511003 fall within Timbergrove Manor Section 8 (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201511003 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.42× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201511003 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201511003 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Mayfair
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brays Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Foster Place
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Crestmont
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Parkridge
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Highland Heights
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Canfield Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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