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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Cole Creek Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201520502 · Harris, TX · pop 4,631 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of 4.9/10, tract 48201520502 in the Cole Creek Manor area of Houston, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,631 residents. Adults with no health insurance runs 40.1% against 11.3% nationally.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 34% Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units1,643
Renter share78.2%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate18.7%
Median income$50,121

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Cole Creek Manor
Very Low
Within parent city
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#322 of 952 tracts In Houston
Elevated
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#360 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Elevated
Within state
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#1,124 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.8349, -95.4961 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cole Creek Manor scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
18.7% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,301 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Cole Creek Manor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Cole Creek Manor risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 5205023.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 380Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.84×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Cole Creek Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cole Creek Manor

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. This is renter territory: 78% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

Cost burden runs 57% here against 49.5% across Harris County. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,301, close to the Houston average.

Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $50,121.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201520502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201520502?

Census tract 48201520502 in the Cole Creek Manor neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201520502?

Median gross rent is $1,301/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201520502?

18.7% of residents in tract 48201520502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,631.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201520502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 32th, minority 90th, housing 78th.
Q5

Is tract 48201520502 considered part of Cole Creek Manor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201520502 fall within Cole Creek Manor (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201520502 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.84× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201520502 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201520502 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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