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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Cole Creek Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201532102 · Harris, TX · pop 3,331 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 5.1/10, tract 48201532102 in the Cole Creek Manor area of Houston, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Adults with no health insurance runs 35.4% against 11.3% nationally.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 24% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,231
Renter share67.6%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate30.4%
Median income$37,383

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Cole Creek Manor
Very High
Within parent city
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#197 of 952 tracts In Houston
High
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#294 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Elevated
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#565 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.8493, -95.4860 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cole Creek Manor scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
30.4% poverty · this tract
7.6
Supply constraint
$1,053 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Cole Creek Manor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Cole Creek Manor risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 5321023.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 493Total filings 2020-21
  • 6.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 9.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.65×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Cole Creek Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cole Creek Manor

Against Harris County at 49.5%, 65% of renters here are cost-burdened. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $37,383, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. This is renter territory: 68% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. At $1,053 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Houston commands.

The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. It sits 1.1 points above the Harris County average of 4.0.

That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201532102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201532102?

Census tract 48201532102 in the Cole Creek Manor neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201532102?

Median gross rent is $1,053/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201532102?

30.4% of residents in tract 48201532102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,331.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201532102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 91th, minority 97th, housing 60th.
Q5

Is tract 48201532102 considered part of Cole Creek Manor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201532102 fall within Cole Creek Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201532102 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.65× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201532102 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201532102 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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