Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Autumn Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201522402 · Harris, TX · pop 3,711 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 48201522402 sits in the Autumn Oaks area of Houston eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. Population here is 3,711. Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 18% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,173
Renter share46.4%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate22.6%
Median income$67,569

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Autumn Oaks
Very High
Within parent city
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#348 of 952 tracts In Houston
Elevated
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#393 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Elevated
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#1,261 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7987, -95.5587 · click any tract to drill in

Why Autumn Oaks scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
22.6% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$1,307 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Autumn Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Autumn Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 5224023.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 67Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 2.78%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.7%Peak (2011)
  • 7Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48201522402
Filings dropped 46% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 56Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.24×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Autumn Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Autumn Oaks

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Harris County average of 49.5%.

Adults with no health insurance runs 28.5% against 11.3% nationally. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 67 filings here across 7 tracked years.

It sits 0.8 points above the Harris County average of 4.0. The worst year on record was 2011, when 4.7% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 2.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 7.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,307, close to the Houston average. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $67,569.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201522402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201522402?

Census tract 48201522402 in the Autumn Oaks neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201522402?

Median gross rent is $1,307/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201522402?

22.6% of residents in tract 48201522402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,711.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201522402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 66th, minority 77th, housing 40th.
Q5

Is tract 48201522402 considered part of Autumn Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201522402 fall within Autumn Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201522402?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 67 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201522402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.78% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48201522402 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.24× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48201522402 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201522402 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related