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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Winchester Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48157670202 · Fort Bend, TX · pop 4,843 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 48157670202 sits in the Winchester area of Houston eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. Population here is 4,843. Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 23% Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,945
Renter share35.6%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate21.9%
Median income$57,017

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Winchester
Moderate
Within parent city
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#175 of 952 tracts In Houston
High
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 133 tracts In Fort Bend
High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#565 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.5977, -95.4758 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winchester scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
21.9% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,447 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Winchester compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winchester risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 6702023.7Houstonparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winchester

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 29.4% against 11.3% nationally.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Against Fort Bend County at 42.8%, 34% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8/10. Against the Fort Bend County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Nationally it ranks #31,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.3/10.

Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,447, close to the Houston average. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $57,017.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48157670202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48157670202?

Census tract 48157670202 in the Winchester neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48157670202?

Median gross rent is $1,447/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48157670202?

21.9% of residents in tract 48157670202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,843.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48157670202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 79th, minority 96th, housing 6th.
Q5

Is tract 48157670202 considered part of Winchester?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48157670202 fall within Winchester (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48157670202 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48157670202 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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