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Neighborhood · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally

Ella Lee Forest Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201531100 · Harris, TX · pop 3,507 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

In Ella Lee Forest in Houston, census tract 48201531100 scores 5.1/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 41% of US census tracts.

100% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 90% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,182 a month against an average household income of $176,091 a year, roughly 8% of income at the averages. About 11% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 0% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,329
Renter share10.8%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate10.8%
Median income$176,091

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Ella Lee Forest
Very High
Within parent city
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#802 of 952 tracts In Houston
Very Low
Within county
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#904 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Very Low
Within state
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#4,582 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.8245, -95.4377 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ella Lee Forest scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.8% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,182 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Ella Lee Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ella Lee Forest risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.13.1This tracttract 531100Houston: 2.82.8Houstonparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 44Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 3.01%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.9%Peak (2009)
  • 3Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 482015311002009: 11 filings (2.89/100 renter HHs)2010: 10 filings (3.61/100 renter HHs)2011: 7 filings (4.43/100 renter HHs)2012: 2 filings (1.27/100 renter HHs)2013: 7 filings (4.43/100 renter HHs)2014: 4 filings (2.53/100 renter HHs)2015: 3 filings (1.90/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 73% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 17Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.71×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ella Lee Forest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ella Lee Forest

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 3.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harris County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 44 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 3.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.9% of renter households in 2009.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.71x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201531100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201531100?

Census tract 48201531100 in the Ella Lee Forest neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201531100?

Median gross rent is $1,182/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 100% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201531100?

10.8% of residents in tract 48201531100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,507.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201531100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 60th, minority 53th, housing 39th.
Q5

Is tract 48201531100 considered part of Ella Lee Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201531100 fall within Ella Lee Forest (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201531100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 44 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201531100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.01% of renter households, peaking at 2.9% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48201531100 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.71× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48201531100 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201531100 scores 3.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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