Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Ella Lee Forest Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston
Tract 48201531100 · Harris, TX · pop 3,507 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 48201531100 covers part of the Ella Lee Forest area of Houston, TX, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,507. 90% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 0%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,329
Renter share10.8%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate10.8%
Median income$176,091
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
2
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
12
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.8245, -95.4377 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ella Lee Forest scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.8% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,182 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Ella Lee Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 42
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 60%Household composition
- 53%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 44Total filings over 7 yrs
- 3.01%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.9%Peak (2009)
- 3Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 73% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 17Total filings 2020-21
- 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.71×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ella Lee Forest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ella Lee Forest
Cost burden runs 100% here against 49.5% across Harris County. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points.
The filing record is not thin: 44 evictions over 7 years of observation. At $1,182 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Houston commands.
The worst year on record was 2009, when 2.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201531100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201531100?
Census tract 48201531100 in the Ella Lee Forest neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201531100?
Median gross rent is $1,182/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 100% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201531100?
10.8% of residents in tract 48201531100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,507.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201531100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 60th, minority 53th, housing 39th.
Q5
Is tract 48201531100 considered part of Ella Lee Forest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201531100 fall within Ella Lee Forest (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201531100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 44 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201531100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.01% of renter households, peaking at 2.9% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201531100 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.71× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201531100 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201531100 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Brays Oaks
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48201550405
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Washington Terrace
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Almeda
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Westwood South
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Westwood South
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Parkland Place
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Turtle Lake
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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