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Neighborhood · Houston, TX

Ella Lee Forest Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 7,441 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Ella Lee Forest takes in 2 census tracts of Houston, TX, population 7,441. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, in the Lower tier. The severe-burden share is 51%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

58% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Houston rate of 32.1%. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.8/10.

Filings are well documented here: 66 across 2 observed tracts. Running cool is housing-court posture, at 2.5/10.

The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 3.6% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 1.3% in 2015, is well off that peak.

That places it #241 of 397 neighborhoods in Houston. At 13% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. The closest comparables inside the same city are Wingspan at Bridgeland and Longwood Village.

Rent takes 9% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Its 2 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

Average gross rent runs $1,408, close to the Houston average.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Ella Lee Forest vs Houston How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
57.6% +79%
Houston: 32.1%
Average gross rent
$1,408 +3%
Houston: $1,361
Average HH income
$186,198 +196%
Houston: $62,894
Poverty rate
6.5% -67%
Houston: 19.7%
Renter share
12.6% -78%
Houston: 57.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Ella Lee Forest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–3

Why Ella Lee Forest scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
58% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
13% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
6.5% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.7 across tracts
1.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.7–5.5 across tracts
4.2
Risk score comparison

Ella Lee Forest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Ella Lee Forest score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0Ella Lee ForestNeighborhood3.7Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Ella Lee Forest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48201531700 3 3,934 20% $1,610
48201531100 3 3,507 100% $1,182
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 23

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 20%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 31%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 53%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 25%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Ella Lee Forest

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 66Total filings (sum)
  • 2.59%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.6%Peak year (2013)
  • 1.21%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 71Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.5Avg monthly observed
  • 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.45×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston, TX).

Frequently asked

About Ella Lee Forest

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Ella Lee Forest?

Ella Lee Forest scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Ella Lee Forest compare to Houston overall?

Ella Lee Forest scores 0.7 points lower than Houston overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,408 vs $1,361.
Q3

What is the average rent in Ella Lee Forest?

Average gross rent in Ella Lee Forest is $1,408/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Ella Lee Forest residents are renters?

13% of Ella Lee Forest households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Houston). The neighborhood has 7,441 residents.
Q5

Is Ella Lee Forest a high social-vulnerability area?

Ella Lee Forest sits in the 23rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Ella Lee Forest have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Ella Lee Forest is census tract 48201531700 (score 3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Ella Lee Forest for landlords?

Ella Lee Forest carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Houston as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Ella Lee Forest?

Ella Lee Forest has 7,355 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (62.8%), Hispanic / Latino (26.8%), Other / Multiracial (7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Ella Lee Forest

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Houston

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Ella Lee Forest.

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