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Neighborhood · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally

Grand Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201541604 · Harris, TX · pop 9,967 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Tract 48201541604, home to 9,967 residents in Grand Oaks in Houston, scores 4.9/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 34th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

33% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,270 monthly, set against $105,534 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 5% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 3% Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units3,394
Renter share4.9%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$105,534

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Grand Oaks
Moderate
Within parent city
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#755 of 952 tracts In Houston
Low
Within county
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#844 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#4,159 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.8359, -95.6796 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grand Oaks scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$2,270 rent vs county FMR
9.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Grand Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Grand Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.43.4This tracttract 541604Houston: 2.82.8Houstonparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 93Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 3 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 4 filings (8.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 3 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 3 filings (12.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2023-10-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 5 filings (5.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 3 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-06-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-03-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-06-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 4 filings (8.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grand Oaks

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 9.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harris County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.00x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201541604

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201541604?

Census tract 48201541604 in the Grand Oaks neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201541604?

Median gross rent is $2,270/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201541604?

9.0% of residents in tract 48201541604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 9,967.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201541604?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 33th, minority 73th, housing 16th.
Q5

Is tract 48201541604 considered part of Grand Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201541604 fall within Grand Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201541604 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201541604 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201541604 scores 3.4/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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