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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Grand Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201541604 · Harris, TX · pop 9,967 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 48201541604 in the Grand Oaks area of Houston, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 9,967 residents. Cost burden runs around a third here against 49.5% across Harris County.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 3% Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units3,394
Renter share4.9%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$105,534

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Grand Oaks
Moderate
Within parent city
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#681 of 952 tracts In Houston
Low
Within county
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#1,004 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Very Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.8359, -95.6796 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grand Oaks scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$2,270 rent vs county FMR
9.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Grand Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Grand Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 5416043.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 93Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grand Oaks

At $2,270 a month, rents run 67% over what the rest of Houston commands. The dominant input is supply constraint at 9.8/10. The voucher gap is 48.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

It sits 1.0 points below the Harris County average of 4.0. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 5% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.7/10. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $105,534.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201541604

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201541604?

Census tract 48201541604 in the Grand Oaks neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201541604?

Median gross rent is $2,270/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201541604?

9.0% of residents in tract 48201541604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 9,967.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201541604?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 33th, minority 73th, housing 16th.
Q5

Is tract 48201541604 considered part of Grand Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201541604 fall within Grand Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201541604 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201541604 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201541604 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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