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Neighborhood · Houston, TX

Grand Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 9,967 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Grand Oaks maps to a single census tract in Houston, TX and houses 9,967 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3/10, placing it in the Lower tier. At $2,270 a month, rents sit 67% over what the rest of Houston commands.

The voucher gap is 48.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. The dominant input is supply constraint at 9.8/10. On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

16% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 2.3/10.

Rent consumes at least 30% of income for around a third of renter households. That places it #241 of 397 neighborhoods in Houston. Only 5% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Wingspan at Bridgeland and Longwood Village. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $105,534.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Grand Oaks vs Houston How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
32.7% +2%
Houston: 32.1%
Average gross rent
$2,270 +67%
Houston: $1,361
Average HH income
$105,534 +68%
Houston: $62,894
Poverty rate
9.0% -54%
Houston: 19.7%
Renter share
5.0% -91%
Houston: 57.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Grand Oaks and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Grand Oaks scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
33% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
5% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
9.0% below poverty line · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 9.8–9.8 across tracts
9.8
Risk score comparison

Grand Oaks vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Grand Oaks score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0Grand OaksNeighborhood3.7Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Grand Oaks

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48201541604 3 9,967 33% $2,270
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 30

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 39%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 33%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 73%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 16%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Grand Oaks

Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 93Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.2Avg monthly observed
  • 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.00×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston, TX).

Frequently asked

About Grand Oaks

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Grand Oaks?

Grand Oaks scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Grand Oaks compare to Houston overall?

Grand Oaks scores 0.7 points lower than Houston overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 33% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,270 vs $1,361.
Q3

What is the average rent in Grand Oaks?

Average gross rent in Grand Oaks is $2,270/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Grand Oaks residents are renters?

5% of Grand Oaks households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Houston). The neighborhood has 9,967 residents.
Q5

Is Grand Oaks a high social-vulnerability area?

Grand Oaks sits in the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Grand Oaks for landlords?

Grand Oaks carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Houston as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Grand Oaks?

Grand Oaks has 9,923 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (40.2%), Hispanic / Latino (25.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (15.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Grand Oaks

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Houston

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Grand Oaks.

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