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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

BlackHorse Ranch South Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201543007 · Harris, TX · pop 20,431 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

48201543007 is a census tract in the BlackHorse Ranch South area of Houston, TX. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 20,431 residents. At $1,897 a month, rents run 39% over what the rest of Houston commands.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 8% Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units6,609
Renter share16.1%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate3.7%
Median income$172,894

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In BlackHorse Ranch South
Moderate
Within parent city
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#663 of 952 tracts In Houston
Low
Within county
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#1,027 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Very Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.9479, -95.7035 · click any tract to drill in

Why BlackHorse Ranch South scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,897 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How BlackHorse Ranch South compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
BlackHorse Ranch South risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 5430073.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 14

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 502Total filings 2020-21
  • 6.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.57×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in BlackHorse Ranch South

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

The voucher gap is 24.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 13% of average household income of $172,894, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201543007

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201543007?

Census tract 48201543007 in the BlackHorse Ranch South neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201543007?

Median gross rent is $1,897/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201543007?

3.7% of residents in tract 48201543007 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 20,431.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201543007?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 16th, minority 70th, housing 26th.
Q5

Is tract 48201543007 considered part of BlackHorse Ranch South?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201543007 fall within BlackHorse Ranch South (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201543007 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.57× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201543007 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201543007 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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