Skip to content
Neighborhood · Houston, TX

BlackHorse Ranch South Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 20,431 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

BlackHorse Ranch South maps to a single census tract in Houston, TX and houses 20,431 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, in the Lower tier. Against a Houston baseline of 32.1%, roughly one in two of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

At $1,897 a month, rents sit 39% over what the rest of Houston commands. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 1/10. The voucher gap is 24.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

Severe burden reaches 14%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Running cool is housing-court posture, at 2.5/10. Among the 397 mapped neighborhoods of Houston, it ranks #241 by risk, the middle third.

At 16% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. The closest comparables inside the same city are Porter Ranch and Longwood Village.

Rent takes 13% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
BlackHorse Ranch South vs Houston How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
47.8% +49%
Houston: 32.1%
Average gross rent
$1,897 +39%
Houston: $1,361
Average HH income
$172,894 +175%
Houston: $62,894
Poverty rate
3.7% -81%
Houston: 19.7%
Renter share
16.1% -72%
Houston: 57.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across BlackHorse Ranch South and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why BlackHorse Ranch South scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
48% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
16% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
3.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Risk score comparison

BlackHorse Ranch South vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

BlackHorse Ranch South score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0BlackHorse Ranch SNeighborhood3.7Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in BlackHorse Ranch South

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48201543007 3 20,431 48% $1,897
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 14

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 7%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 16%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 70%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 26%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in BlackHorse Ranch South

Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 502Total filings 2020-21
  • 6.5Avg monthly observed
  • 4.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.57×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston, TX).

Frequently asked

About BlackHorse Ranch South

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for BlackHorse Ranch South?

BlackHorse Ranch South scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does BlackHorse Ranch South compare to Houston overall?

BlackHorse Ranch South scores 0.7 points lower than Houston overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,897 vs $1,361.
Q3

What is the average rent in BlackHorse Ranch South?

Average gross rent in BlackHorse Ranch South is $1,897/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of BlackHorse Ranch South residents are renters?

16% of BlackHorse Ranch South households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Houston). The neighborhood has 20,431 residents.
Q5

Is BlackHorse Ranch South a high social-vulnerability area?

BlackHorse Ranch South sits in the 14th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is BlackHorse Ranch South for landlords?

BlackHorse Ranch South carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Houston as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of BlackHorse Ranch South?

BlackHorse Ranch South has 22,581 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (41.8%), Hispanic / Latino (19.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (18.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near BlackHorse Ranch South

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Houston

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to BlackHorse Ranch South.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further