Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally
Turtle Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201551501 · Harris, TX · pop 3,296 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 48201551501 runs through the Turtle Lake area of Houston. With 3,296 residents, it scores 5.7/10 for landlords. It lands near the 63rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 57% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,556 monthly, set against $58,564 in average yearly household income, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 87% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 50%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 13%
Tract context
Occupied units1,306
Renter share87.0%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate26.2%
Median income$58,564
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
75
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.9461, -95.5589 · click any tract to drill in
Why Turtle Lake scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
26.2% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$1,556 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Turtle Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 694Total filings 2020-21
- 9.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.99×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Turtle Lake
What moves this score most is economic stress at 6.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Harris County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.99x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201551501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201551501?
Census tract 48201551501 in the Turtle Lake neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201551501?
Median gross rent is $1,556/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201551501?
26.2% of residents in tract 48201551501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,296.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201551501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 4th, minority 87th, housing 70th.
Q5
Is tract 48201551501 considered part of Turtle Lake?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201551501 fall within Turtle Lake (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201551501 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.99× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201551501 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201551501 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Remington Ranch
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Mayfair
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brays Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Foster Place
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Crestmont
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Parkridge
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Highland Heights
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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