1 census tracts · pop 3,296 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10
· range 5.1–5.1
Turtle Lake maps to a single census tract in Houston, TX, population 3,296. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.1/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 57% against 32.1% citywide, putting Turtle Lake 25.1% over its own city.
This is a renter market: 87% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Severe burden reaches 29%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. The poverty rate is 26%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side is housing-court posture, at 2.5/10.
Average gross rent is $1,556, 14% above the Houston average of $1,361. That places it #1 of 397 neighborhoods in Houston. The closest comparables inside the same city are North Shadydale and Grand Vista Lakes.
Social vulnerability runs high at 7.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $58,564.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.1/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Turtle Lake vs HoustonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority87%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport70%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Turtle Lake
Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
694Total filings 2020-21
9.0Avg monthly observed
4.5Pre-pandemic baseline
1.99×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston, TX).
Frequently asked
About Turtle Lake
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Turtle Lake?
Turtle Lake scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Turtle Lake compare to Houston overall?
Turtle Lake scores 1.4 points higher than Houston overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,556 vs $1,361.
Q3
What is the average rent in Turtle Lake?
Average gross rent in Turtle Lake is $1,556/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Turtle Lake residents are renters?
87% of Turtle Lake households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Houston). The neighborhood has 3,296 residents.
Q5
Is Turtle Lake a high social-vulnerability area?
Turtle Lake sits in the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Turtle Lake for landlords?
Turtle Lake carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Houston as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Turtle Lake?
Turtle Lake has 3,476 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (46.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (22.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (21.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
