Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

Shary Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mission

Tract 48215024116 · Hidalgo, TX · pop 4,114 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

The Shary Forest area of Mission anchors census tract 48215024116, which lands at 4.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 19% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 34% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $996 a month against an average household income of $76,685 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 23% of occupied homes.

Risk score

4.3

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 15% Owners 77%

Tract context

Occupied units1,160

Renter share22.5%

SVI overall0.82

Poverty rate9.7%

Median income$76,685

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mission and the region

Centroid at 26.2479, -98.2958 · click any tract to drill in

Why Shary Forest scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Mission

6.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Texas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

9.7% poverty · this tract

2.4

Supply constraint

$996 rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Mission

4.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Mission

6.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Mission

6.1

How Shary Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

82%Socioeconomic
72%Household composition
91%Racial/ethnic minority
64%Housing & transportation

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Shary Forest

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 6.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mission eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hidalgo County average of 4.9 and below the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48215024116

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48215024116?

Census tract 48215024116 in the Shary Forest neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 48215024116?

Median gross rent is $996/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 48215024116?

9.7% of residents in tract 48215024116 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,114.

How socially vulnerable is tract 48215024116?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 72th, minority 91th, housing 64th.

Is tract 48215024116 considered part of Shary Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48215024116 fall within Shary Forest (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 48215024116 compare to Mission overall?

Tract 48215024116 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Mission at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mission eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mission

Top eight tracts in Mission ranked by composite eviction-risk score.