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Neighborhood · Mission, TX

Shary Forest Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,114 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Shary Forest maps to a single census tract in Mission, TX and houses 4,114 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, in the Lower tier. The severe-burden share is 26%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.5/10. Against a Mission baseline of 27.6%, 34% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.4/10. That places it #5 of 7 neighborhoods in Mission. Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Montecruz and Orchards at Shary Road. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.4/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Against average income of $76,685, annual rent is only 16%, a wide affordability cushion. Average gross rent runs $996, close to the Mission average.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Shary Forest vs Mission How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
33.7% +22%
Mission: 27.6%
Average gross rent
$996 +5%
Mission: $950
Average HH income
$76,685 +26%
Mission: $60,813
Poverty rate
9.7% -45%
Mission: 17.7%
Renter share
22.5% -21%
Mission: 28.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Shary Forest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Shary Forest scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Rent control risk
34% of income on rent · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
23% renter households · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Economic stress
9.7% below poverty line · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Risk score comparison

Shary Forest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Shary Forest score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0Shary ForestNeighborhood3.7Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Shary Forest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48215024116 3 4,114 34% $996
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 82

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 82%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 72%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 91%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 64%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Shary Forest

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Shary Forest?

Shary Forest scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Shary Forest compare to Mission overall?

Shary Forest scores 0.7 points lower than Mission overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 34% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $996 vs $950.
Q3

What is the average rent in Shary Forest?

Average gross rent in Shary Forest is $996/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Shary Forest residents are renters?

23% of Shary Forest households are renter-occupied (vs 29% in Mission). The neighborhood has 4,114 residents.
Q5

Is Shary Forest a high social-vulnerability area?

Shary Forest sits in the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Shary Forest for landlords?

Shary Forest carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mission as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Shary Forest?

Shary Forest has 3,785 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (83.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (10.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (4.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Shary Forest

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mission

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Shary Forest.

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