Neighborhood · Mission, TX

Shary Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,114 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.3/10 · range 4.3–4.3

Shary Forest is a hispanic / latino neighborhood in Mission with 1 census tract and a population of 4,114 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 34% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 26% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $996/month sits 5% higher than the Mission citywide average ($950).

Risk score

4.3

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Shary Forest vs Mission How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

33.7% +22%

Mission: 27.6%

Average gross rent

$996 +5%

Mission: $950

Average HH income

$76,685 +26%

Mission: $60,813

Poverty rate

9.7% -45%

Mission: 17.7%

Renter share

22.5% -21%

Mission: 28.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Shary Forest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.3–4.3

Why Shary Forest scores 4.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts

6.3

Rent control risk

34% of income on rent · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts

4.8

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

23% renter households · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts

6.3

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts

6.1

Economic stress

9.7% below poverty line · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts

2.4

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Risk score comparison

Shary Forest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Shary Forest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
48215024116	4.3	4,114	34%	$996

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 82

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 82%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 72%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 91%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 64%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Frequently asked

About Shary Forest

What is the eviction-risk score for Shary Forest?

Shary Forest scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Shary Forest compare to Mission overall?

Shary Forest scores 1.6 points higher than Mission overall (2.7/10). Renters spend 34% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $996 vs $950.

What is the average rent in Shary Forest?

Average gross rent in Shary Forest is $996/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Shary Forest residents are renters?

23% of Shary Forest households are renter-occupied (vs 29% in Mission). The neighborhood has 4,114 residents.

Is Shary Forest a high social-vulnerability area?

Shary Forest sits in the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Shary Forest for landlords?

Shary Forest carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mission as a whole (2.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Shary Forest?

Shary Forest has 3,785 residents (Hispanic / Latino Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (83.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (10.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (4.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Shary Forest

3.7 Orchards at Shary Road 2 tracts · pop 6,656 6 Fairview 3 tracts · pop 15,135 5.8 Colonia Allende 2 tracts · pop 10,544 6.1 Hidden Coves 3 tracts · pop 10,435 5.1 Del Sol 6 tracts · pop 18,318 6.3 College Heights 9 tracts · pop 19,099

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mission

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Shary Forest.

4.6 Montecruz 1 tracts · pop 5,468 3.6 Orchards at Shary Road 2 tracts · pop 6,656 5.5 Basham Number 10 Colonia 1 tracts · pop 4,068 5.9 Ariel Hinojosa Colonia 1 tracts · pop 4,248 6 Fairview 3 tracts · pop 15,135 6.4 Randolph Barnett Number 1 Colonia 1 tracts · pop 6,752

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