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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Valley Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48339692605 · Montgomery, TX · pop 5,288 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Tract 48339692605 sits in the Valley Ranch area of Montgomery County, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. It is home to 5,288 residents. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 28% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,857
Renter share41.8%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate23.5%
Median income$69,219

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Valley Ranch
Moderate
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#23 of 133 tracts In Montgomery
High
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#1,261 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
National
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#35,669 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Montgomery and the region

Centroid at 30.1405, -95.2361 · click any tract to drill in

Why Valley Ranch scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
1.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
23.5% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$1,402 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
State baseline
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Valley Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Valley Ranch risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 6926053.8Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Valley Ranch

Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 28.1% against 11.3% nationally.

Running cool, local political climate reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

32% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Montgomery County average of 39.2%. It sits 1.0 points above the Montgomery County average of 3.8.

Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7/10.

Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Average gross rent runs $1,402 a month.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $69,219.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48339692605

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48339692605?

Census tract 48339692605 in the Valley Ranch neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48339692605?

Median gross rent is $1,402/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48339692605?

23.5% of residents in tract 48339692605 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,288.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48339692605?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 63th, minority 62th, housing 56th.
Q5

Is tract 48339692605 considered part of Valley Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48339692605 fall within Valley Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
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