Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Valley Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 48339692605 ·
Montgomery, TX · pop 5,288 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Tract 48339692605 sits in the Valley Ranch area of Montgomery County, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. It is home to 5,288 residents. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%Stable renters 28%Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,857
Renter share41.8%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate23.5%
Median income$69,219
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Valley Ranch
Moderate
Within county
83th percentile
#23 of 133 tracts In Montgomery
High
Within state
82th percentile
#1,261 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
National
58th percentile
#35,669 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Montgomery and the region
Centroid at 30.1405, -95.2361 · click any tract to drill in
Why Valley Ranch scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
1.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
23.5% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$1,402 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
State baseline
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Valley Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
67%Socioeconomic
63%Household composition
62%Racial/ethnic minority
56%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Valley Ranch
Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 28.1% against 11.3% nationally.
Running cool, local political climate reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
32% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Montgomery County average of 39.2%. It sits 1.0 points above the Montgomery County average of 3.8.
Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7/10.
Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Average gross rent runs $1,402 a month.
Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $69,219.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48339692605
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48339692605?
Census tract 48339692605 in the Valley Ranch neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48339692605?
Median gross rent is $1,402/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48339692605?
23.5% of residents in tract 48339692605 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,288.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48339692605?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 63th, minority 62th, housing 56th.
Q5
Is tract 48339692605 considered part of Valley Ranch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48339692605 fall within Valley Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).