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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Willow Springs Eviction Risk: Lower , Heath

Tract 48397040507 · Rockwall, TX · pop 5,494 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Tract 48397040507 sits in the Willow Springs area of Heath, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 5,494. The severe-burden share is 100%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 0% Owners 99%
Tract context
Occupied units1,774
Renter share0.7%
SVI overall0.00
Poverty rate3.1%
Median income$212,273

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Willow Springs
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Heath
Very Low
Within county
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#23 of 29 tracts In Rockwall
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Heath and the region

Centroid at 32.8662, -96.4622 · click any tract to drill in

Why Willow Springs scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Heath
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.1
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Heath
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Heath
2.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Heath
1.9

How Willow Springs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Willow Springs risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0405073.2Heathparent city3.5Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 0

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Willow Springs

Against Rockwall County at 47.3%, 100% of renters here are cost-burdened. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.1/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 1% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Rockwall County average of 3.5 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48397040507

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48397040507?

Census tract 48397040507 in the Willow Springs neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 48397040507?

3.1% of residents in tract 48397040507 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,494.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 48397040507?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 0th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 4th, minority 21th, housing 2th.
Q4

Is tract 48397040507 considered part of Willow Springs?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48397040507 fall within Willow Springs (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q5

How does tract 48397040507 compare to Heath overall?

Tract 48397040507 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Heath at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Heath; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Heath

Top eight tracts in Heath ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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