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Census Tract · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

Fort Worth Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48439105902 · Tarrant, TX · pop 5,840

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 48439105902 (Fort Worth in Tarrant County, Texas) comes in at 5.8/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #28,002 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 58% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,236 a month against an average household income of $38,973 a year, roughly 38% of income at the averages. About 92% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 54% Stable renters 38% Owners 8%
Tract context
Occupied units1,373
Renter share91.8%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate43.2%
Median income$38,973

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 203 tracts In Fort Worth
Very High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 449 tracts In Tarrant
Very High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#976 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
National
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#15,522 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Worth and the region

Centroid at 32.6752, -97.2954 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fort Worth scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Worth
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
43.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,236 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Worth
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Worth
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Worth
2.5

How Fort Worth compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fort Worth risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.75.7This tracttract 105902Fort Worth: 2.62.6Fort Worthparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,822Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 27.73%Avg annual filing rate
  • 109.3%Peak (2003)
  • 31Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 484391059022001: 109 filings (21.69/100 renter HHs)2002: 344 filings (68.46/100 renter HHs)2003: 549 filings (109.26/100 renter HHs)2004: 429 filings (85.38/100 renter HHs)2005: 155 filings (33.20/100 renter HHs)2006: 78 filings (16.71/100 renter HHs)2007: 75 filings (16.06/100 renter HHs)2008: 80 filings (17.13/100 renter HHs)2009: 123 filings (26.34/100 renter HHs)2010: 92 filings (8.08/100 renter HHs)2011: 219 filings (19.21/100 renter HHs)2012: 177 filings (15.53/100 renter HHs)2013: 137 filings (12.02/100 renter HHs)2014: 128 filings (11.23/100 renter HHs)2015: 69 filings (6.05/100 renter HHs)2016: 27 filings (2.35/100 renter HHs)2017: 31 filings (2.70/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 72% over the past 17 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,062Total filings 2020-21
  • 13.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 9.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.44×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 30 filings (8.57× baseline)2020-02-01: 27 filings (3.86× baseline)2020-03-01: 6 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.06× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 11 filings (0.73× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.06× baseline)2020-11-01: 16 filings (1.78× baseline)2020-12-01: 9 filings (0.69× baseline)2021-01-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2021-02-01: 4 filings (0.57× baseline)2021-03-01: 4 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-04-01: 6 filings (0.75× baseline)2021-05-01: 3 filings (0.26× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (0.11× baseline)2021-07-01: 2 filings (0.13× baseline)2021-08-01: 22 filings (2.44× baseline)2021-09-01: 8 filings (0.53× baseline)2021-10-01: 24 filings (1.50× baseline)2021-11-01: 12 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-12-01: 4 filings (0.31× baseline)2022-01-01: 7 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 28 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 37 filings (6.17× baseline)2022-04-01: 23 filings (2.88× baseline)2022-05-01: 27 filings (2.35× baseline)2022-06-01: 20 filings (2.22× baseline)2022-07-01: 22 filings (1.42× baseline)2022-08-01: 25 filings (2.78× baseline)2022-09-01: 18 filings (1.20× baseline)2022-10-01: 23 filings (1.44× baseline)2022-11-01: 15 filings (1.67× baseline)2022-12-01: 22 filings (1.69× baseline)2023-01-01: 11 filings (3.14× baseline)2023-02-01: 10 filings (1.43× baseline)2023-03-01: 16 filings (2.67× baseline)2023-04-01: 3 filings (0.38× baseline)2023-05-01: 23 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 14 filings (1.56× baseline)2023-07-01: 9 filings (0.58× baseline)2023-08-01: 13 filings (1.44× baseline)2023-09-01: 25 filings (1.67× baseline)2023-10-01: 21 filings (1.31× baseline)2023-11-01: 24 filings (2.67× baseline)2023-12-01: 19 filings (1.46× baseline)2024-01-01: 8 filings (2.29× baseline)2024-02-01: 14 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 11 filings (1.83× baseline)2024-04-01: 16 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 22 filings (1.91× baseline)2024-06-01: 15 filings (1.67× baseline)2024-07-01: 21 filings (1.35× baseline)2024-08-01: 25 filings (2.78× baseline)2024-09-01: 23 filings (1.53× baseline)2024-10-01: 14 filings (0.88× baseline)2024-11-01: 20 filings (2.22× baseline)2024-12-01: 16 filings (1.23× baseline)2025-01-01: 18 filings (5.14× baseline)2025-02-01: 9 filings (1.29× baseline)2025-03-01: 13 filings (2.17× baseline)2025-04-01: 9 filings (1.13× baseline)2025-05-01: 8 filings (0.70× baseline)2025-06-01: 6 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-07-01: 8 filings (0.52× baseline)2025-08-01: 13 filings (1.44× baseline)2025-09-01: 20 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-10-01: 16 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 6 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-12-01: 28 filings (2.15× baseline)2026-01-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 24 filings (240.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 7 filings (70.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 14 filings (140.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fort Worth

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fort Worth eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Tarrant County average of 5.1 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.44x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,822 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 27.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 109.3% of renter households in 2003.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48439105902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48439105902?

Census tract 48439105902 in Fort Worth scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48439105902?

Median gross rent is $1,236/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48439105902?

43.2% of residents in tract 48439105902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,840.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48439105902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 89th, minority 88th, housing 98th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48439105902?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,822 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 48439105902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 27.73% of renter households, peaking at 109.3% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48439105902 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.44× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48439105902 compare to Fort Worth overall?

Tract 48439105902 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Worth at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Worth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48439105902 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Worth

Top eight tracts in Fort Worth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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