Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Deer Cove Eviction Risk: Lower , Arlington

Tract 48439111316 · Tarrant, TX · pop 6,466 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

48439111316 is a census tract in the Deer Cove area of Arlington, TX. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 6,466 residents. 21% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Tarrant County average of 50.2%.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 9% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units2,029
Renter share11.3%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate1.5%
Median income$115,938

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Deer Cove
Moderate
Within parent city
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#76 of 86 tracts In Arlington
Very Low
Within county
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#417 of 449 tracts In Tarrant
Very Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Centroid at 32.6149, -97.0902 · click any tract to drill in

Why Deer Cove scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Arlington
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
1.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,190 rent vs county FMR
7.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
2.5

How Deer Cove compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Deer Cove risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 1113163.4Arlingtonparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 360Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.12×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Deer Cove

At $2,190 a month, rents run 49% over what the rest of Arlington commands. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.

The voucher gap is 28.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.6/10.

It sits 0.8 points below the Tarrant County average of 3.8. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 11% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48439111316

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48439111316?

Census tract 48439111316 in the Deer Cove neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48439111316?

Median gross rent is $2,190/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48439111316?

1.5% of residents in tract 48439111316 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,466.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48439111316?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 62th, minority 85th, housing 26th.
Q5

Is tract 48439111316 considered part of Deer Cove?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48439111316 fall within Deer Cove (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48439111316 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.12× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48439111316 compare to Arlington overall?

Tract 48439111316 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Arlington at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arlington

Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related