Arlington Eviction Risk: Moderate

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. This is renter territory: 78% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Tarrant County average of 50.2%. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.6/10.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $47,401, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

It sits 1.0 points above the Tarrant County average of 3.8. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,328 filings here across 17 tracked years.

Average gross rent is $1,289, 12% below the Arlington average. Filings peaked in 2013 at 12.7% of renter households.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.