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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Ideal Place Eviction Risk: Moderate , Austin

Tract 48453000302 · Travis, TX · pop 5,474 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

48453000302 is a census tract in the Ideal Place area of Austin, TX. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,474. 29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 41% Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units3,307
Renter share76.7%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate19.7%
Median income$61,763

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Ideal Place
Very High
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#41 of 239 tracts In Austin
High
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 290 tracts In Travis
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#108 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Austin and the region

Centroid at 30.3026, -97.7265 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ideal Place scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Austin
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.7% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,307 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austin
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austin
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austin
4.5

How Ideal Place compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ideal Place risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0003024.0Austinparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 51

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 222Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 0.85%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.4%Peak (2002)
  • 12Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48453000302
Filings dropped 29% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ideal Place. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ideal Place

The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. 77% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

Average gross rent is $1,307, 24% below the Austin average. It sits 1.4 points above the Travis County average of 4.0. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

The filing record is not thin: 222 evictions over 12 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2002 at 1.4% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Austin. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 0.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.6/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48453000302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48453000302?

Census tract 48453000302 in the Ideal Place neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48453000302?

Median gross rent is $1,307/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48453000302?

19.7% of residents in tract 48453000302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,474.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48453000302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 2th, minority 65th, housing 82th.
Q5

Is tract 48453000302 considered part of Ideal Place?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48453000302 fall within Ideal Place (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48453000302?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 222 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 48453000302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.85% of renter households, peaking at 1.4% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 48453000302 compare to Austin overall?

Tract 48453000302 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Austin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48453000302 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Austin

Top eight tracts in Austin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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