Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Austin

Tract 48453001101 · Travis, TX · pop 1,755 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

48453001101 is a census tract in the Downtown area of Austin, TX. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 46% Owners 22%

Tract context

Occupied units873

Renter share78.5%

SVI overall0.75

Poverty rate36.5%

Median income$102,216

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Austin and the region

Centroid at 30.2711, -97.7425 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Austin

8.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.2

State political climate

Texas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

36.5% poverty · this tract

9.1

Supply constraint

$1,710 rent vs county FMR

3.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Austin

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Austin

7.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Austin

4.5

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

62%Socioeconomic
23%Household composition
65%Racial/ethnic minority
98%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
12%Grade B
51%Grade C
19%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.1/10. The poverty rate is 37%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

This is renter territory: 78% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

It sits 1.4 points above the Travis County average of 4.0. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Austin. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 7.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

41% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Average gross rent is $1,710, close to the Austin average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48453001101

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48453001101?

Census tract 48453001101 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 48453001101?

Median gross rent is $1,710/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 48453001101?

36.5% of residents in tract 48453001101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,755.

How socially vulnerable is tract 48453001101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 23th, minority 65th, housing 98th.

Is tract 48453001101 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48453001101 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 48453001101 compare to Austin overall?

Tract 48453001101 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Austin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 48453001101 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 19% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Austin

Top eight tracts in Austin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.