Chestnut Eviction Risk: Moderate , Austin
Tract 48453000402 · Travis, TX · pop 3,207 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 48453000402 covers the Chestnut neighborhood of Austin in Texas. Home to 3,207 residents, it scores 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 45% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,711 a month while the average household earns $79,875 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 67% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Austin and the region
Centroid at 30.2841, -97.7155 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chestnut scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Chestnut compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 1%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 58%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 220Total filings over 12 yrs
- 2.34%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.3%Peak (2001)
- 25Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
What drives eviction risk in Chestnut
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Austin eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Travis County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 58% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 48453000402
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48453000402?
What is the average rent in tract 48453000402?
What is the poverty rate in tract 48453000402?
How socially vulnerable is tract 48453000402?
Is tract 48453000402 considered part of Chestnut?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48453000402?
How does tract 48453000402 compare to Austin overall?
Was tract 48453000402 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Austin
Top eight tracts in Austin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.