Neighborhood · Austin, TX

Chestnut Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,207 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10 · range 4.1–4.1

Chestnut is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Austin with 1 census tract and a population of 3,207 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 45% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 25% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,711/month sits 1% lower than the Austin citywide average ($1,729).

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Chestnut vs Austin How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

44.6% +53%

Austin: 29.1%

Average gross rent

$1,711 -1%

Austin: $1,729

Average HH income

$79,875 -13%

Austin: $91,461

Poverty rate

15.3% +25%

Austin: 12.3%

Renter share

66.9% +18%

Austin: 56.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chestnut and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.1–4.1

Why Chestnut scores 4.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts

7.2

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts

8.5

Rent control risk

45% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

67% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Economic stress

15.3% below poverty line · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts

3.8

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts

3.8

Risk score comparison

Chestnut vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Chestnut

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
48453000402	4.1	3,207	45%	$1,711

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 62

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 75%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 3%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 66%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 91%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Chestnut

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

220Total filings (sum)
2.34%Avg annual filing rate
3.3%Peak year (2001)
2.61%Latest filed (2012)

Frequently asked

About Chestnut

What is the eviction-risk score for Chestnut?

Chestnut scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Chestnut compare to Austin overall?

Chestnut scores 1.2 points higher than Austin overall (2.9/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,711 vs $1,729.

What is the average rent in Chestnut?

Average gross rent in Chestnut is $1,711/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Chestnut residents are renters?

67% of Chestnut households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Austin). The neighborhood has 3,207 residents.

Is Chestnut a high social-vulnerability area?

Chestnut sits in the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Chestnut for landlords?

Chestnut carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Austin as a whole (2.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Chestnut?

Chestnut has 3,552 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (46.5%), Hispanic / Latino (32.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (12.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Chestnut

4.3 Blackshear-Prospect Hill 2 tracts · pop 5,778 3.2 Mueller 2 tracts · pop 7,525 6.3 The Drag 3 tracts · pop 18,285 4 Ideal Place 2 tracts · pop 8,528 3.5 Govalle 2 tracts · pop 6,835 4.2 Pecan Springs Springdale 2 tracts · pop 9,135

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Austin

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Chestnut.

4.1 Pecan Springs Springdale 2 tracts · pop 9,135 4.1 Pioneer Hill 1 tracts · pop 7,129 4.1 St. Edwards 1 tracts · pop 2,254 4.1 Sherwood Oaks 1 tracts · pop 4,569 4 Swiss Alpine Village 1 tracts · pop 3,877 4 Loma Vista 1 tracts · pop 4,776

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