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Neighborhood · Austin, TX

Chestnut Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,207 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 4.9–4.9

Chestnut is a one-tract neighborhood of Austin, TX, population 3,207. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.9/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 45% against 29.1% citywide, putting Chestnut 15.5% over its own city.

25% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. This is a renter market: 67% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Court records for this tract carry 220 eviction filings. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. The worst year on record was 2001, when filings touched 3.3% of renter households.

Recent filings have not receded much: 2.6% in 2012 against a 3.3% peak. Among the 151 mapped neighborhoods of Austin, it ranks #37 by risk, the upper third.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Little Texas and North Shoal Creek. Average gross rent runs $1,711, close to the Austin average.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $79,875.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.9/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Chestnut vs Austin How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.6% +53%
Austin: 29.1%
Average gross rent
$1,711 -1%
Austin: $1,729
Average HH income
$79,875 -13%
Austin: $91,461
Poverty rate
15.3% +25%
Austin: 12.3%
Renter share
66.9% +18%
Austin: 56.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chestnut and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.9–4.9

Why Chestnut scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
67% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
15.3% below poverty line · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts
3.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts
3.8
Risk score comparison

Chestnut vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Chestnut score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.9ChestnutNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Chestnut

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48453000402 4.9 3,207 45% $1,711
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 62

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 75%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 3%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 66%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 91%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Chestnut

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 220Total filings (sum)
  • 2.34%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.3%Peak year (2001)
  • 2.61%Latest filed (2012)
Frequently asked

About Chestnut

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Chestnut?

Chestnut scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Chestnut compare to Austin overall?

Chestnut scores 0.9 points higher than Austin overall (4/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,711 vs $1,729.
Q3

What is the average rent in Chestnut?

Average gross rent in Chestnut is $1,711/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Chestnut residents are renters?

67% of Chestnut households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Austin). The neighborhood has 3,207 residents.
Q5

Is Chestnut a high social-vulnerability area?

Chestnut sits in the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Chestnut for landlords?

Chestnut carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Austin as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Chestnut?

Chestnut has 3,552 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (46.5%), Hispanic / Latino (32.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (12.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Chestnut

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Austin

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Chestnut.

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