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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Evergreen Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , Austin

Tract 48453001309 · Travis, TX · pop 2,897 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 48453001309 sits in the Evergreen Heights area of Austin eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 2,897 residents. Against Travis County at 44.8%, 12% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 43% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,504
Renter share48.7%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate1.8%
Median income$172,767

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Evergreen Heights
Very Low
Within parent city
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#206 of 239 tracts In Austin
Very Low
Within county
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#217 of 290 tracts In Travis
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Austin and the region

Centroid at 30.2613, -97.7639 · click any tract to drill in

Why Evergreen Heights scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Austin
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
1.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,700 rent vs county FMR
8.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austin
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austin
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austin
4.5

How Evergreen Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Evergreen Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0013094.0Austinparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Evergreen Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Evergreen Heights

Average gross rent is $2,700, 56% above the Austin average. The voucher gap is 38.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8.9/10. Disability prevalence runs 16.1% against 31.5% nationally. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

It sits 1.0 points below the Travis County average of 4.0. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.1/10. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $172,767.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48453001309

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48453001309?

Census tract 48453001309 in the Evergreen Heights neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48453001309?

Median gross rent is $2,700/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 12% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48453001309?

1.8% of residents in tract 48453001309 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,897.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48453001309?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 1th, minority 29th, housing 35th.
Q5

Is tract 48453001309 considered part of Evergreen Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48453001309 fall within Evergreen Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48453001309 compare to Austin overall?

Tract 48453001309 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Austin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 48453001309 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 29% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Austin

Top eight tracts in Austin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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