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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Elmhurst Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Austin

Tract 48453001403 · Travis, TX · pop 1,477 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

48453001403 is a census tract in the Elmhurst Heights area of Austin, TX. It scores 5.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,477 residents. Against Travis County at 44.8%, 29% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 50% Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units860
Renter share71.4%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate17.3%
Median income$65,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Elmhurst Heights
Very Low
Within parent city
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#52 of 239 tracts In Austin
High
Within county
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#52 of 290 tracts In Travis
High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#330 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Austin and the region

Centroid at 30.2399, -97.7351 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elmhurst Heights scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Austin
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.3% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,409 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austin
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austin
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austin
4.5

How Elmhurst Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elmhurst Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.3This tracttract 0014034.0Austinparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 241Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 4.08%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.9%Peak (2012)
  • 50Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48453001403
Filings climbed 317% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elmhurst Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elmhurst Heights

The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. This is renter territory: 71% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Against the Travis County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. 13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Average gross rent is $1,409, 19% below the Austin average. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 241 filings here across 12 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2012, when 8.9% of renter households were served.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 4.1% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48453001403

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48453001403?

Census tract 48453001403 in the Elmhurst Heights neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48453001403?

Median gross rent is $1,409/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48453001403?

17.3% of residents in tract 48453001403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,477.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48453001403?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 1th, minority 53th, housing 24th.
Q5

Is tract 48453001403 considered part of Elmhurst Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48453001403 fall within Elmhurst Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48453001403?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 241 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 48453001403 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.08% of renter households, peaking at 8.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 48453001403 compare to Austin overall?

Tract 48453001403 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Austin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48453001403 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Austin

Top eight tracts in Austin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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