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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Tarrytown Eviction Risk: Lower , Austin

Tract 48453001604 · Travis, TX · pop 4,111 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Tract 48453001604 sits in the Tarrytown area of Austin eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 4,111. 46% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 5% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,681
Renter share9.6%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate3.5%
Median income$243,365

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Tarrytown
Moderate
Within parent city
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#194 of 239 tracts In Austin
Very Low
Within county
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#195 of 290 tracts In Travis
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Austin and the region

Centroid at 30.3028, -97.7724 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tarrytown scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Austin
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,214 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austin
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austin
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austin
4.5

How Tarrytown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tarrytown risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0016044.0Austinparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 4

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 18Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 0.54%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.9%Peak (2001)
  • 3Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48453001604
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tarrytown

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

At $2,214 a month, rents run 28% over what the rest of Austin commands. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

Disability prevalence runs 18.6% against 31.5% nationally. 52% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Travis County average of 44.8%.

Against the Travis County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 18 filings here across 10 tracked years. The voucher gap is 13.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

The worst year on record was 2001, when 0.9% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Austin. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48453001604

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48453001604?

Census tract 48453001604 in the Tarrytown neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48453001604?

Median gross rent is $2,214/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48453001604?

3.5% of residents in tract 48453001604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,111.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48453001604?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 30th, minority 24th, housing 7th.
Q5

Is tract 48453001604 considered part of Tarrytown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48453001604 fall within Tarrytown (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48453001604?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 18 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 48453001604 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.54% of renter households, peaking at 0.9% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 48453001604 compare to Austin overall?

Tract 48453001604 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Austin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48453001604 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Austin

Top eight tracts in Austin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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