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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally

Pecan Springs Springdale Eviction Risk: Moderate , Austin

Tract 48453002108 · Travis, TX · pop 4,251 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

The Pecan Springs Springdale area of Austin anchors census tract 48453002108, which lands at 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 43% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,334 monthly, set against $58,459 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 52% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 29% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,027
Renter share51.7%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate24.6%
Median income$58,459

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Pecan Springs Springdale
Very High
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#30 of 239 tracts In Austin
High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 290 tracts In Travis
Very High
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#1,560 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Austin and the region

Centroid at 30.2974, -97.6689 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pecan Springs Springdale scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Austin
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
24.6% poverty · this tract
6.2
Supply constraint
$1,334 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austin
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austin
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austin
4.5

How Pecan Springs Springdale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pecan Springs Springdale risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 002108Austin: 2.92.9Austinparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 730Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 8.51%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.2%Peak (2004)
  • 49Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 484530021082001: 61 filings (8.40/100 renter HHs)2002: 15 filings (2.07/100 renter HHs)2003: 85 filings (11.71/100 renter HHs)2004: 110 filings (15.15/100 renter HHs)2005: 74 filings (10.56/100 renter HHs)2006: 86 filings (12.27/100 renter HHs)2007: 77 filings (10.98/100 renter HHs)2008: 65 filings (9.27/100 renter HHs)2009: 47 filings (6.70/100 renter HHs)2010: 32 filings (4.63/100 renter HHs)2011: 29 filings (3.87/100 renter HHs)2012: 49 filings (6.54/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pecan Springs Springdale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pecan Springs Springdale

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Austin eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Travis County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 730 eviction filings here over 12 tracked years, with about 8.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 15.2% of renter households in 2004.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48453002108

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48453002108?

Census tract 48453002108 in the Pecan Springs Springdale neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48453002108?

Median gross rent is $1,334/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48453002108?

24.6% of residents in tract 48453002108 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,251.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48453002108?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 53th, minority 84th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 48453002108 considered part of Pecan Springs Springdale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48453002108 fall within Pecan Springs Springdale (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48453002108?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 730 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 48453002108 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.51% of renter households, peaking at 15.2% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 48453002108 compare to Austin overall?

Tract 48453002108 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Austin at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Austin

Top eight tracts in Austin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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