Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Pecan Springs Springdale Eviction Risk: Moderate , Austin
Tract 48453002108 · Travis, TX · pop 4,251 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 48453002108 sits in the Pecan Springs Springdale area of Austin eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. Population here is 4,251. The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,027
Renter share51.7%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate24.6%
Median income$58,459
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
93
th percentile
Very High
Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Austin and the region
Centroid at 30.2974, -97.6689 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pecan Springs Springdale scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Austin
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
24.6% poverty · this tract
6.2
Supply constraint
$1,334 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austin
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austin
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austin
4.5
How Pecan Springs Springdale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 730Total filings over 12 yrs
- 8.51%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.2%Peak (2004)
- 49Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Pecan Springs Springdale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pecan Springs Springdale
Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,334, 23% below the Austin average. The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Against the Travis County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. The filing record is not thin: 730 evictions over 12 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2004, when 15.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 8.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.7/10. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48453002108
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48453002108?
Census tract 48453002108 in the Pecan Springs Springdale neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48453002108?
Median gross rent is $1,334/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48453002108?
24.6% of residents in tract 48453002108 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,251.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48453002108?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 53th, minority 84th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 48453002108 considered part of Pecan Springs Springdale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48453002108 fall within Pecan Springs Springdale (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48453002108?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 730 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 48453002108 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.51% of renter households, peaking at 15.2% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 48453002108 compare to Austin overall?
Tract 48453002108 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Austin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Austin
Top eight tracts in Austin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Little Texas
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
North Austin Civic Association
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Timber Creek
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
North Austin Civic Association
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Northridge Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Fiskville
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Downtown
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Montopolis
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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