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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Chevy Chase South Eviction Risk: Moderate , Austin

Tract 48453002314 · Travis, TX · pop 5,527 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 48453002314 sits in the Chevy Chase South area of Austin eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. Population here is 5,527. 93% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 56% Owners 8%
Tract context
Occupied units2,995
Renter share92.8%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate14.1%
Median income$70,943

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Chevy Chase South
Moderate
Within parent city
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#57 of 239 tracts In Austin
High
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#59 of 290 tracts In Travis
High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#565 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Austin and the region

Centroid at 30.2247, -97.7155 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chevy Chase South scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Austin
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.1% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,412 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austin
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austin
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austin
4.5

How Chevy Chase South compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Chevy Chase South risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 0023144.0Austinparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 928Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 3.65%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.7%Peak (2012)
  • 156Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48453002314
Filings climbed 578% over the past 12 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chevy Chase South

The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. At $1,412 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of Austin commands.

It sits 1.1 points above the Travis County average of 4.0. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.0% against 11.3% nationally. Against Travis County at 44.8%, 39% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Court records carry 928 eviction filings across 12 observed years. The worst year on record was 2012, when 7.7% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 3.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48453002314

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48453002314?

Census tract 48453002314 in the Chevy Chase South neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48453002314?

Median gross rent is $1,412/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48453002314?

14.1% of residents in tract 48453002314 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,527.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48453002314?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 12th, minority 79th, housing 84th.
Q5

Is tract 48453002314 considered part of Chevy Chase South?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48453002314 fall within Chevy Chase South (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48453002314?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 928 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 48453002314 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.65% of renter households, peaking at 7.7% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 48453002314 compare to Austin overall?

Tract 48453002314 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Austin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Austin

Top eight tracts in Austin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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