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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

St. Johns Eviction Risk: Moderate , Austin

Tract 48453043300 · Travis, TX · pop 4,086 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 48453043300 covers part of the St. Johns area of Austin, TX, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,086 residents. Against Travis County at 44.8%, 84% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 62% Stable renters 12% Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units1,432
Renter share74.0%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate28.1%
Median income$44,657

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In St. Johns
Very Low
Within parent city
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 239 tracts In Austin
Very High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 290 tracts In Travis
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#108 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Austin and the region

Centroid at 30.3329, -97.6956 · click any tract to drill in

Why St. Johns scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Austin
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
28.1% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$1,467 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austin
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austin
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austin
4.5

How St. Johns compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
St. Johns risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0433004.0Austinparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within St. Johns. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in St. Johns

Adults with no health insurance runs 33.3% against 11.3% nationally. Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $44,657, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. This is renter territory: 74% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

Severe burden reaches 21%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Travis County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.

Average gross rent is $1,467, 15% below the Austin average. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 9.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48453043300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48453043300?

Census tract 48453043300 in the St. Johns neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48453043300?

Median gross rent is $1,467/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 84% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48453043300?

28.1% of residents in tract 48453043300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,086.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48453043300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 90th, minority 91th, housing 90th.
Q5

Is tract 48453043300 considered part of St. Johns?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48453043300 fall within St. Johns (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48453043300 compare to Austin overall?

Tract 48453043300 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Austin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Austin

Top eight tracts in Austin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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