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Neighborhood · Austin, TX

St. Johns Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 10,080 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 5.4–5.4

St. Johns takes in 2 census tracts of Austin, TX and houses 10,080 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.4/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Austin baseline of 29.1%, 66% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The severe-burden share is 29%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. 78% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2/10. Average gross rent is $1,368, 21% below the Austin average of $1,729.

Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. Among the 151 mapped neighborhoods of Austin, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes. Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $51,356.

With little internal variation, 5.4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
St. Johns vs Austin How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
65.6% +125%
Austin: 29.1%
Average gross rent
$1,368 -21%
Austin: $1,729
Average HH income
$51,356 -44%
Austin: $91,461
Poverty rate
25.4% +107%
Austin: 12.3%
Renter share
77.6% +37%
Austin: 56.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Johns and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.4–5.4

Why St. Johns scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
66% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
78% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
25.4% below poverty line · Range 5.9–7.0 across tracts
6.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.7–2.5 across tracts
2.0
Risk score comparison

St. Johns vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

St. Johns score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.4St. JohnsNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in St. Johns

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48453040000 5.4 5,994 53% $1,301
48453043300 5.4 4,086 84% $1,467
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 90

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 94%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 57%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 85%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 83%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About St. Johns

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for St. Johns?

St. Johns scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does St. Johns compare to Austin overall?

St. Johns scores 1.4 points higher than Austin overall (4/10). Renters spend 66% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,368 vs $1,729.
Q3

What is the average rent in St. Johns?

Average gross rent in St. Johns is $1,368/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of St. Johns residents are renters?

78% of St. Johns households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Austin). The neighborhood has 10,080 residents.
Q5

Is St. Johns a high social-vulnerability area?

St. Johns sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in St. Johns have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in St. Johns is census tract 48453040000 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.4 to 5.4, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is St. Johns for landlords?

St. Johns carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Austin as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of St. Johns?

St. Johns has 9,895 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (53.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (21.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (17.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near St. Johns

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Austin

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to St. Johns.

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