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Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally

Harvest Cove Eviction Risk: Elevated , Logan

Tract 49005000502 · Cache, UT · pop 7,155 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

For landlords sizing up the Harvest Cove neighborhood of Logan, census tract 49005000502 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. That is riskier than about 34% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 47% of renter households, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,241 a month while the average household earns $56,371 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 78% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 41% Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units2,652
Renter share77.5%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate31.7%
Median income$56,371

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Harvest Cove
Very High
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 13 tracts In Logan
High
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 28 tracts In Cache
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 716 tracts In Utah
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Logan and the region

Centroid at 41.7605, -111.8449 · click any tract to drill in

Why Harvest Cove scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Logan
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.1
State political climate
Utah legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
31.7% poverty · this tract
7.9
Supply constraint
$1,241 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Logan
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Logan
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Logan
7.2

How Harvest Cove compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Harvest Cove risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.16.1This tracttract 000502Logan: 2.22.2Loganparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 2.62.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 92Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 0.63%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.1%Peak (2018)
  • 18Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 490050005022006: 7 filings (0.73/100 renter HHs)2007: 4 filings (0.41/100 renter HHs)2008: 12 filings (1.24/100 renter HHs)2009: 6 filings (0.62/100 renter HHs)2011: 8 filings (0.54/100 renter HHs)2012: 3 filings (0.20/100 renter HHs)2014: 6 filings (0.41/100 renter HHs)2015: 11 filings (0.74/100 renter HHs)2016: 11 filings (0.65/100 renter HHs)2017: 6 filings (0.35/100 renter HHs)2018: 18 filings (1.06/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 157% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Harvest Cove. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Harvest Cove

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Logan eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cache County average of 3.6 and above the Utah statewide average of 4.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 16.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 49005000502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 49005000502?

Census tract 49005000502 in the Harvest Cove neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 49005000502?

Median gross rent is $1,241/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 49005000502?

31.7% of residents in tract 49005000502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,155.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 49005000502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 47th, minority 55th, housing 56th.
Q5

Is tract 49005000502 considered part of Harvest Cove?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 49005000502 fall within Harvest Cove (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 49005000502?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 92 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 49005000502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.63% of renter households, peaking at 1.1% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 49005000502 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 49005000502 compare to Logan overall?

Tract 49005000502 scores 6.1/10, higher than the parent city of Logan at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Logan eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Logan

Top eight tracts in Logan ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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