Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Harvest Cove Eviction Risk: Moderate , Logan
Tract 49005000502 · Cache, UT · pop 7,155 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 5.6/10, tract 49005000502 in the Harvest Cove area of Logan, UT reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units2,652
Renter share77.5%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate31.7%
Median income$56,371
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Logan and the region
Centroid at 41.7605, -111.8449 · click any tract to drill in
Why Harvest Cove scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Logan
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.1
State political climate
Utah legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
31.7% poverty · this tract
7.9
Supply constraint
$1,241 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Logan
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Logan
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Logan
7.2
How Harvest Cove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 56%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 92Total filings over 11 yrs
- 0.63%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.1%Peak (2018)
- 18Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 157% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Harvest Cove. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.2%Housing insecurity
- 12.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.8%Food insecurity
- 16.2%SNAP enrollment
- 14.2%Transit barriers
- 15.0%No health insurance
- 23.3%Frequent mental distress
- 33.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Harvest Cove
Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 0.9/10. This is renter territory: 78% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Cost burden runs 47% here against 37.0% across Cache County. It sits 1.7 points above the Cache County average of 3.9.
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.9/10. The filing record is not thin: 92 evictions over 11 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2018 at 1.1% of renter households. Average gross rent is $1,241, 8% above the Logan average.
In a typical year about 0.6% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 49005000502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 49005000502?
Census tract 49005000502 in the Harvest Cove neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 49005000502?
Median gross rent is $1,241/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 49005000502?
31.7% of residents in tract 49005000502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,155.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 49005000502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 47th, minority 55th, housing 56th.
Q5
Is tract 49005000502 considered part of Harvest Cove?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 49005000502 fall within Harvest Cove (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 49005000502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 92 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 49005000502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.63% of renter households, peaking at 1.1% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 49005000502 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 49005000502 compare to Logan overall?
Tract 49005000502 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Logan at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Logan eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Logan
Top eight tracts in Logan ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · UT
49005001002
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · UT
Harvest Cove
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · UT
The Island
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · UT
Harvest Cove
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · UT
Hillcrest Neighborhood
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · UT
The Island
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · UT
The Island
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · UT
49005980100
3.7
/ 10 · Low
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