Harvest Cove Eviction Risk: Moderate

The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. 70% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

The poverty rate is 29%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Severe burden reaches 21%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.9/10. Court records carry 178 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.

On the high side is economic stress at 7.3/10. The worst year on record was 2018, when filings touched 1.1% of renter households. Among the 5 mapped neighborhoods of Logan, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.

Judgments average 0.2% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. For a like-for-like read, The Island and Hillcrest Neighborhood score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Its 3 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

With little internal variation, 5.6/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.