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Neighborhood · Ranked #53,267 of 84,120 nationally

Hunting Creek Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Meadowbrook

Tract 51041100817 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 3,529 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

The Hunting Creek Hills neighborhood of Meadowbrook anchors census tract 51041100817, which lands at $1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 74% of US census tracts.

About 70% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,690 monthly, set against $71,283 in average yearly household income, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 43% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 13% Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,168
Renter share43.2%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate13.6%
Median income$71,283

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Hunting Creek Hills
Very Low
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 75 tracts In Chesterfield County
High
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#878 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
National
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#53,267 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Meadowbrook and the region

Centroid at 37.3846, -77.4998 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hunting Creek Hills scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Meadowbrook
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
13.6% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,690 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Meadowbrook
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Meadowbrook
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Meadowbrook
5.0

How Hunting Creek Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hunting Creek Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.33.3This tracttract 100817Meadowbrook: 3.73.7Meadowbrookparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,325Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 48.07%Avg annual filing rate
  • 73.6%Peak (2013)
  • 153Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510411008172010: 119 filings (23.06/100 renter HHs)2011: 221 filings (60.05/100 renter HHs)2012: 179 filings (48.64/100 renter HHs)2013: 271 filings (73.64/100 renter HHs)2014: 209 filings (56.79/100 renter HHs)2015: 173 filings (47.01/100 renter HHs)2016: 153 filings (27.32/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 29% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Hunting Creek Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hunting Creek Hills

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Meadowbrook, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Chesterfield County average of 5.8 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51041100817

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100817?

Census tract 51041100817 in the Hunting Creek Hills neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51041100817?

Median gross rent is $1,690/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100817?

13.6% of residents in tract 51041100817 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,529.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100817?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 81th, minority 62th, housing 33th.
Q5

Is tract 51041100817 considered part of Hunting Creek Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51041100817 fall within Hunting Creek Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041100817?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,325 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51041100817 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 48.07% of renter households, peaking at 73.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51041100817 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51041100817 compare to Meadowbrook overall?

Tract 51041100817 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Meadowbrook at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Meadowbrook; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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