Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Hunting Creek Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Meadowbrook
Tract 51041100817 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 3,529 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 51041100817 sits in the Hunting Creek Hills area of Chesterfield County, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. Population here is 3,529. 70% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Chesterfield County average of 42.3%.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,168
Renter share43.2%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate13.6%
Median income$71,283
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
89
th percentile
High
National
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Meadowbrook and the region
Centroid at 37.3846, -77.4998 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hunting Creek Hills scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Meadowbrook
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
13.6% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,690 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Meadowbrook
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Meadowbrook
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Meadowbrook
5.0
How Hunting Creek Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 81%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 33%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,325Total filings over 7 yrs
- 48.07%Avg annual filing rate
- 73.6%Peak (2013)
- 153Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 29% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Hunting Creek Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.0%Housing insecurity
- 9.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.8%Food insecurity
- 15.0%SNAP enrollment
- 9.3%Transit barriers
- 10.8%No health insurance
- 17.8%Frequent mental distress
- 35.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hunting Creek Hills
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.6/10. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
It sits 1.3 points above the Chesterfield County average of 4.2. Court records carry 1,325 eviction filings across 7 observed years. The worst year on record was 2013, when 73.6% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 48.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #23,808 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent runs $1,690 a month.
Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $71,283. 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51041100817
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100817?
Census tract 51041100817 in the Hunting Creek Hills neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51041100817?
Median gross rent is $1,690/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100817?
13.6% of residents in tract 51041100817 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,529.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100817?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 81th, minority 62th, housing 33th.
Q5
Is tract 51041100817 considered part of Hunting Creek Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51041100817 fall within Hunting Creek Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041100817?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,325 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51041100817 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 48.07% of renter households, peaking at 73.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51041100817 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51041100817 compare to Meadowbrook overall?
Tract 51041100817 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Meadowbrook at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Meadowbrook; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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