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Neighborhood · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally

Hunting Creek Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Meadowbrook

Tract 51041100814 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 3,856 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Eviction risk in the Hunting Creek Hills neighborhood of Meadowbrook centers on tract 51041100814, which scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 3,856 residents. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 45% of renter households, a severe level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,450 monthly, set against $79,332 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 17% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,387
Renter share31.4%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate10.8%
Median income$79,332

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Hunting Creek Hills
Very High
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Meadowbrook
Elevated
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#15 of 75 tracts In Chesterfield County
High
Within state
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#826 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Meadowbrook and the region

Centroid at 37.4039, -77.4952 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hunting Creek Hills scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Meadowbrook
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
10.8% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,450 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Meadowbrook
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Meadowbrook
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Meadowbrook
6.4

How Hunting Creek Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hunting Creek Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.43.4This tracttract 100814Meadowbrook: 3.73.7Meadowbrookparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 48

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 323Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 12.83%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.1%Peak (2014)
  • 44Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510411008142010: 40 filings (15.94/100 renter HHs)2011: 45 filings (11.51/100 renter HHs)2012: 35 filings (8.95/100 renter HHs)2013: 41 filings (10.49/100 renter HHs)2014: 63 filings (16.11/100 renter HHs)2015: 55 filings (14.07/100 renter HHs)2016: 44 filings (12.72/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Hunting Creek Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hunting Creek Hills

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 6.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Meadowbrook, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Chesterfield County average of 5.8 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 48th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 17.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51041100814

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100814?

Census tract 51041100814 in the Hunting Creek Hills neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51041100814?

Median gross rent is $1,450/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100814?

10.8% of residents in tract 51041100814 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,856.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100814?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 73th, minority 74th, housing 6th.
Q5

Is tract 51041100814 considered part of Hunting Creek Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51041100814 fall within Hunting Creek Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041100814?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 323 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51041100814 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.83% of renter households, peaking at 16.1% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51041100814 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51041100814 compare to Meadowbrook overall?

Tract 51041100814 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Meadowbrook at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Meadowbrook; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Meadowbrook

Top eight tracts in Meadowbrook ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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