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Neighborhood · Ranked #76,223 of 84,120 nationally

Runnymede Eviction Risk: Lower , Rockwood

Tract 51041100910 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 5,638 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Tract 51041100910, home to 5,638 residents in Runnymede in Rockwood, scores 5.2/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #47,006 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 25% of renter households, a moderate level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,150 a month while the average household earns $106,383 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 17% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 13% Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units2,079
Renter share17.3%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate5.1%
Median income$106,383

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Runnymede
Moderate
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Rockwood
Elevated
Within county
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#47 of 75 tracts In Chesterfield County
Low
Within state
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#1,544 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Rockwood and the region

Centroid at 37.4759, -77.5829 · click any tract to drill in

Why Runnymede scores 1.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Rockwood
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.1% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$2,150 rent vs county FMR
7.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rockwood
4.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rockwood
4.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rockwood
3.8

How Runnymede compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Runnymede risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.81.8This tracttract 100910Rockwood: 3.33.3Rockwoodparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 274Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 11.45%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.8%Peak (2015)
  • 31Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510411009102010: 32 filings (11.94/100 renter HHs)2011: 42 filings (11.20/100 renter HHs)2012: 31 filings (8.27/100 renter HHs)2013: 43 filings (11.47/100 renter HHs)2014: 47 filings (12.53/100 renter HHs)2015: 48 filings (12.80/100 renter HHs)2016: 31 filings (11.92/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Runnymede

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 7.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Rockwood, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Chesterfield County average of 5.8 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 274 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 11.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 12.8% of renter households in 2015.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51041100910

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100910?

Census tract 51041100910 in the Runnymede neighborhood scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51041100910?

Median gross rent is $2,150/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100910?

5.1% of residents in tract 51041100910 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,638.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100910?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 34th, minority 55th, housing 8th.
Q5

Is tract 51041100910 considered part of Runnymede?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51041100910 fall within Runnymede (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041100910?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 274 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51041100910 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.45% of renter households, peaking at 12.8% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51041100910 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51041100910 compare to Rockwood overall?

Tract 51041100910 scores 1.8/10, lower than the parent city of Rockwood at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockwood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rockwood

Top eight tracts in Rockwood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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