Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Sky Line Towns Eviction Risk: Moderate , Rockwood
Tract 51041100919 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 6,915 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 4.1/10, tract 51041100919 in the Sky Line Towns area of Rockwood, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.6/10.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units2,697
Renter share19.4%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate6.8%
Median income$83,643
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Rockwood and the region
Centroid at 37.4482, -77.6149 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sky Line Towns scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Rockwood
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.8% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,436 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rockwood
4.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rockwood
4.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rockwood
3.8
How Sky Line Towns compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 34
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 58%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 609Total filings over 7 yrs
- 19.97%Avg annual filing rate
- 32.2%Peak (2012)
- 51Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 28% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.1%Housing insecurity
- 6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.2%Food insecurity
- 9.6%SNAP enrollment
- 7.0%Transit barriers
- 8.4%No health insurance
- 17.3%Frequent mental distress
- 28.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sky Line Towns
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.7/10. At $1,436 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of Rockwood commands.
11% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The filing record is not thin: 609 evictions over 7 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2012, when 32.2% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 20.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #47,371 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.1/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. 39% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51041100919
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100919?
Census tract 51041100919 in the Sky Line Towns neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51041100919?
Median gross rent is $1,436/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100919?
6.8% of residents in tract 51041100919 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,915.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100919?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 58th, minority 52th, housing 20th.
Q5
Is tract 51041100919 considered part of Sky Line Towns?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51041100919 fall within Sky Line Towns (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041100919?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 609 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51041100919 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.97% of renter households, peaking at 32.2% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51041100919 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51041100919 compare to Rockwood overall?
Tract 51041100919 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Rockwood at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockwood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Rockwood
Top eight tracts in Rockwood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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