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Neighborhood · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally

Mallory Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Midlothian

Tract 51041100928 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 8,623 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

For landlords sizing up Mallory Village in Midlothian, census tract 51041100928 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.4/10. It lands near the 84th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 49% of renter households, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,623 a month while the average household earns $85,930 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 41% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 21% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units3,726
Renter share40.9%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate12.5%
Median income$85,930

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Mallory Village
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Midlothian
Very High
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 75 tracts In Chesterfield County
Elevated
Within state
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#1,136 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Midlothian and the region

Centroid at 37.4842, -77.6790 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mallory Village scores 2.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Midlothian
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
12.5% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,623 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Midlothian
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Midlothian
5.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Midlothian
4.9

How Mallory Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mallory Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.72.7This tracttract 100928Midlothian: 3.43.4Midlothianparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 953Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 15.13%Avg annual filing rate
  • 20.6%Peak (2015)
  • 108Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510411009282010: 60 filings (7.99/100 renter HHs)2011: 143 filings (15.73/100 renter HHs)2012: 142 filings (15.62/100 renter HHs)2013: 173 filings (19.03/100 renter HHs)2014: 140 filings (15.40/100 renter HHs)2015: 187 filings (20.57/100 renter HHs)2016: 108 filings (11.59/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 80% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mallory Village

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Midlothian, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Chesterfield County average of 5.8 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51041100928

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100928?

Census tract 51041100928 in the Mallory Village neighborhood scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51041100928?

Median gross rent is $1,623/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100928?

12.5% of residents in tract 51041100928 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,623.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100928?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 83th, minority 59th, housing 86th.
Q5

Is tract 51041100928 considered part of Mallory Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51041100928 fall within Mallory Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041100928?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 953 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51041100928 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.13% of renter households, peaking at 20.6% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51041100928 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51041100928 compare to Midlothian overall?

Tract 51041100928 scores 2.7/10, lower than the parent city of Midlothian at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Midlothian; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Midlothian

Top eight tracts in Midlothian ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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