Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Mallory Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Midlothian
Tract 51041100928 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 8,623 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 51041100928 sits in the Mallory Village area of Midlothian, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5/10. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.6/10.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units3,726
Renter share40.9%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate12.5%
Median income$85,930
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Midlothian and the region
Centroid at 37.4842, -77.6790 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mallory Village scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Midlothian
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
12.5% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,623 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Midlothian
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Midlothian
5.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Midlothian
4.9
How Mallory Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 953Total filings over 7 yrs
- 15.13%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.6%Peak (2015)
- 108Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 80% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.7%Housing insecurity
- 5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.4%Food insecurity
- 8.4%SNAP enrollment
- 6.1%Transit barriers
- 7.1%No health insurance
- 15.4%Frequent mental distress
- 29.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mallory Village
23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against Chesterfield County at 42.3%, roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.4/10.
Court records carry 953 eviction filings across 7 observed years. It sits 0.8 points above the Chesterfield County average of 4.2.
Food insecurity runs 10.4% against 17.8% nationally. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 3.1/10. Filings peaked in 2015 at 20.6% of renter households.
In a typical year about 15.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,623, close to the Midlothian average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51041100928
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100928?
Census tract 51041100928 in the Mallory Village neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51041100928?
Median gross rent is $1,623/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100928?
12.5% of residents in tract 51041100928 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,623.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100928?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 83th, minority 59th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 51041100928 considered part of Mallory Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51041100928 fall within Mallory Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041100928?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 953 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51041100928 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.13% of renter households, peaking at 20.6% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51041100928 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51041100928 compare to Midlothian overall?
Tract 51041100928 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Midlothian at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Midlothian; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Midlothian
Top eight tracts in Midlothian ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related