Windsor Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Midlothian
Tract 51041100915 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 4,124 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
51041100915 is a census tract in the Windsor Forest area of Midlothian, VA. It scores 4.2/10 for landlords. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.6/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Midlothian and the region
Centroid at 37.5120, -77.6349 · click any tract to drill in
Why Windsor Forest scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Windsor Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 353Total filings over 7 yrs
- 9.80%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.7%Peak (2016)
- 70Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.7%Food insecurity
- 6.7%SNAP enrollment
- 5.5%Transit barriers
- 6.4%No health insurance
- 15.2%Frequent mental distress
- 26.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Windsor Forest
The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.
50% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Chesterfield County average of 42.3%. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.4/10.
Food insecurity runs 8.7% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 6.7% against 15.2% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 353 filings here across 7 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 12.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 9.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 46th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Chesterfield County average of 4.2 closely.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51041100915
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100915?
What is the average rent in tract 51041100915?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100915?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100915?
Is tract 51041100915 considered part of Windsor Forest?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041100915?
What share of households in tract 51041100915 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51041100915 compare to Midlothian overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Midlothian
Top eight tracts in Midlothian ranked by composite eviction-risk score.